The newest Panelbase poll, which shows a narrow lead for independence, was an “omnibus” one with questions provided by multiple clients, including Wings and the Sunday Times. The questions we’re about to show you were asked by the ST rather than ourselves, but their results are deeply disturbing on multiple levels.
The first one is perhaps predictable but still unsettling. (Click all pics to enlarge.)
A huge 2:1 majority of Scots believe the Scottish Government’s proposed new “gender recognition” laws pose a safety risk to women. Tory voters think so by almost 9:1, Lib Dem voters by almost 6:1, and Labour voters by nearly 2:1.
That can only partly be explained away by partisan party loyalty – Labour and the Liberal Democrats both support the bill, but their own voters are still strongly against. More noteworthy is the fact that (excluding Don’t Knows) even slavishly loyal SNP voters agree with the statement by a smaller but still clear 12-point margin, 56 to 44.
So let’s say it unambiguously: most SNP voters think the SNP’s gender reforms pose a danger to women’s safety.
To its eternal disgrace, the University Of Edinburgh is trying to prevent this excellent film from being shown in Scotland, as part of a systematic campaign of suppression and censorship that starts from the highest offices of the Scottish Government and works its way down through academia, the arts and the civic sector.
It remains to be seen whether the figures represent a short blip of anger over the Supreme Court decision, a more sustained but still temporary period of Yes support like that of summer 2020 – spring 2021, or a permanent shift in public opinion.
So as such they’re actually relatively uninteresting, although the SNP’s plan to do absolutely nothing to take advantage of any momentum that might exist, and to wait several months before even having a strategy conference, remains disturbing.
But what actually caught our eye about the poll were a couple of questions nobody else has reported on.
It’s more than two years now since we published this article, but it’s worth quickly going over it again, because there’s nothing on Earth more tedious than boneheads on social media going “Oh, you slag off the SNP but what’s YOUR plan if you’re so clever?”, who haven’t bothered to read any of the dozen times we’ve already answered that question since 25 months ago.
This is it. This is our plan. Try listening this time, thickos.
Yesterday we watched the first day’s proceedings of For Women Scotland taking the Scottish Government to court over its definition of what a woman is.
The topic is really very niche but will affect us all if the judge rules for the government (we won’t know the outcome for at least a month or two), so here’s the short version of what it’s all about.
Someone had to remind us that today is Wings Over Scotland’s 11th birthday.
In a grim indictment of Scotland’s once-vaunted political new media, a site that’s been officially closed since May 2021 is still far and away the most-read in the country, despite that readership now being mostly angry overgrown children squabbling with each other in the comments. People would apparently still, by a vast margin, rather read that than endure the tedium of Bella Caledonia or Believe In Scotland.
We’ve said pretty much all that there is to be said about that miserable state of affairs already, so we won’t repeat ourselves. God help the independence movement.
In the 2021 Scottish Parliament election, the Scottish Greens received just 4.7% of all the votes cast. (255,314 of 5,419,544). The SNP got 44% – almost 10 times as many.
So we’re not sure how the Greens – a party that well over 90% of Scots don’t support – suddenly appear to be in charge.
Nor, perhaps more to the point, do we understand why.
As well as being the Director of the John Smith Policy Centre (a job with no known responsibilities but which nevertheless pays around the same as being an MSP making laws in the Scottish Parliament) she writes regular columns in The Times and The Courier and is now, hilariously, the new Professor of Practice in Public Service in Glasgow University.
(A post with unspecified duties and unknown salary and which was also not, as far as anyone can tell, ever publicly advertised.)
We were bored so we thought we’d find out, via Panelbase, if her latest lucrative role was perhaps the result of a noticeably impressive performance in the first one.
Sometimes even fools and liars and charlatans speak the truth.
Thing is, we rather liked it when the horses south of the border were frightened. Things happened in those days. But to coin a phrase, those days are past now.
Because the SNP are now openly, publicly telling you that they’re never going to achieve independence for Scotland, nor even make any meaningful attempt at it.
James Barr Gardner on The Future Is Yesterday: “A Vote for the “Status Quo” is a Vote for Further Austerity at best, at worst a Third World War…” Feb 18, 22:21
Aidan on The Future Is Yesterday: “They’ll be advertising the vacancies for SNP MSP’s down at the job centre at this rate. I honestly think they’d…” Feb 18, 21:29
100%Yes on The Future Is Yesterday: “The SNP gave up on Scotland after the referendum. I just wished people would waken up before its to late…” Feb 18, 19:48
Effijy on The Future Is Yesterday: “It’s like 3 legged horses must have the right to enter the Scottish Grand National. If it can’t jump and…” Feb 18, 19:22
Hatey McHateface on The Future Is Yesterday: “Dunno why Stu has such a downer on Oor Fatima. I look at her and see future First Minister potential.…” Feb 18, 18:38
Hatey McHateface on Scotland In Numbers: ““For the arithmetically illiterate, professor Sullivan‘s percentages are not of mutually exclusive categories” Sez you! For the simply illiterate, perhaps…” Feb 18, 18:13
MaryB on The Future Is Yesterday: “Off topic but relevant. Inde car aka Gordon Ross reports that the UK government appears to have pulled the plug…” Feb 18, 18:10
100%Yes on The Future Is Yesterday: “So why not just vote Reform and be done with the SNP, sound good to me.” Feb 18, 17:37
Rob on The Future Is Yesterday: “I have always had a problem with the concept of “list” MSP’s. I don’t understand how a small group of…” Feb 18, 17:32
Cynicus on The Future Is Yesterday: ““Emma Roddick, currently a list MSP in Highland, is standing against Fergus Ewing for a constituency” ============ Vote Fergus Ewing…” Feb 18, 17:01
John on The Future Is Yesterday: “whatever is published by WoS, the short, stark truth remains simple: (i) despite a convincing and comprehensive track record of…” Feb 18, 16:16
Young Lochinvar on Scotland In Numbers: “Lorna HG Well’s “The Time Machine” appears to have accurately predicted the rise of the dissolute degenerate androgynous Eloi. Evolution;…” Feb 18, 16:12
Southernbystander on Scotland In Numbers: “This makes good sense, in theory. Did you ever see that programme where a Lincolnshire farmer was asked to employ…” Feb 18, 16:10
Fearghas MacFhionnlaigh on Scotland In Numbers: “Lorna, I invariably read and appreciate your contributions. The perennial question in this instance would seem twofold: “Are there any…” Feb 18, 16:05
sarah on The Future Is Yesterday: “Is there a glimmer of hope that at least one of these troughers won’t get back? Emma Roddick, currently a…” Feb 18, 15:58
Cynicus on Scotland In Numbers: “Lorna Campbell says: 18 February, 2026 at 1:48 pm “It is Stalinism/totalitarianism” ========= You perfect analogy. Under Stalin, the charlatan…” Feb 18, 15:57
Young Lochinvar on The Future Is Yesterday: “I don’t believe for a second that “the independent” courts alone decided sneaky Pete’s hearing would be held back to…” Feb 18, 15:51
Skip_NC on The Future Is Yesterday: “But all that one of the court cases may do is make people not want to vote for them. They…” Feb 18, 15:34
P C Foster on Scotland In Numbers: “@ Lorna– I think that we need to recognize that Westminster prevented the GRA. Also nurses in England seem to…” Feb 18, 15:23
Cynicus on Scotland In Numbers: ““….women who support the SNP and are members of the SNP not up in arms about the SNP attitude toward…” Feb 18, 15:00
sarah on The Future Is Yesterday: “I forgot Alba – if they joined the Alliance umbrella, that would be even better.” Feb 18, 14:59
Aidan on The Longest Road: “Scotland is one of the wealthiest countries in the world, as I pointed out GDP per capita in Edinburgh is…” Feb 18, 14:54
sarah on The Future Is Yesterday: “Horrifying, appalling, sickening, terrifying, outrageous. What a dreadful level the SNP has fallen to. Alliance to Liberate Scotland is the…” Feb 18, 14:46
Terry on The Future Is Yesterday: “You’ve been right for years. Agreed. They need to go. But how? Apart from us not voting for them. I’m…” Feb 18, 14:44
David on The Future Is Yesterday: “The thought of Campbell getting in makes me boke.” Feb 18, 14:30
Lorna Campbell on Scotland In Numbers: “It is Stalinism/totalitarianism, Fearghas, and deliberately so pour encourager les autres. I think we really need to ask what is…” Feb 18, 13:48
Hatey McHateface on Scotland In Numbers: “I find the fact that Neil Armstrong could claim descent from Scottish Border Reiver ancestors on his father’s side is…” Feb 18, 13:43
Cynicus on Scotland In Numbers: “Cameron Lochiel says: 18 February, 2026 at 12:04 am “It’s about time we gave up and let the bees take…” Feb 18, 13:37
Hatey McHateface on Scotland In Numbers: “Spain has just granted citizenship to around one million illegals. Thus effectively unleashing them on all the other EU member…” Feb 18, 13:29