You win a historic third election with a second massive landslide, getting more than twice as many seats as your nearest challenger – the first time such a thing has ever happened in a Holyrood election – on the back of what’s (self-evidently) by and large a very popular policy programme and record, and before you’ve even taken your seats in the chamber all the parties you just thrashed out of sight line up to explain how you’ve been doing everything wrong.
And as alliances go, they don’t get much less holy.
We’re supposed to be taking a few days off, but it’s been tipping it down outside for 36 solid hours, so when an alert reader emailed us a question relating to this article from Monday, we couldn’t help but go and research it just to pass some time.
They’d asked how many of the Tory MSPs elected last Thursday had been rejected by the voters of a constituency seat on the same day, and we were startled by the answer – of the 24 Conservative members of the Scottish Parliament elected on the list last week, every single one was also a failed constituency candidate.
In amongst a torrent of pretty mad analysis of the election result at the weekend, we noticed the most insane reason yet suggested for the loss of the SNP’s majority:
The co-founder of a much-lauded but little-read pro-independence website asserted that the SNP were cruising to victory until the Nats got the backing of the Scottish Sun and Nicola Sturgeon was pictured posing with the front cover endorsing her party.
The whole litany of gaping flaws in that argument is something the Yes movement has needed to talk about for some considerable time now. So let’s bite the bullet and do it.
The social-media reaction to this post yesterday was astonishing. Merely pointing out calmly and quietly that our warnings before the election had been entirely vindicated, and that everyone else’s unequivocal assertions of a guaranteed SNP majority had been the rubbish we always said they were, unleashed a torrent of abuse equal to any we’ve ever endured in the last four and a half years – distinguished only by the fact that so much of this one came from supposed Yes supporters.
But no amount of screaming and shouting will change the facts. Let’s look at them.
The first (and from our perspective, most important) thing to note is that independence is now categorically and unequivocally off the table for at least half a decade.
The failure of the SNP to secure another Holyrood majority last night (for the want of just 360 votes) combined with the Greens’ weasel-worded opposition to a second referendum – and make no mistake, opposition is what it is – will ensure that even if the rUK votes to leave the EU and Scotland votes overwhelmingly to stay in, there will be no indyref before the next Holyrood election in 2021.
Whatever else happens, you can take that to the bank.
During this election campaign, there’ve been the usual bouts of political sparring, the tit-for-tat point-scoring frenzy played out through a plethora of media. One particular battleground, though, had a special resonance for me – the “Named Person” scheme.
I’m a former “looked-after” child. I’ve suffered the abuse and neglect that this scheme is intended to help protect children from. Having scrutinised the details for myself, I fully support it.
The rise of the SNP has so bewildered the metropolitan commentariat that even almost a decade after the party won its first Scottish election pundits still barely know which way to face to confront it. A case in point can be found in today’s Times.
Spartan 117 on The Turning Point: “Ignore it. It’s off its tits again on whatever intoxicating substances its managed to raid from the COSHH cabinet. You…” Sep 29, 16:22
James on The Turning Point: “The yapping Armchair General says “we cant afford it”… And yet….. and yet…’we’ can “afford” to waste £205 BILLION on…” Sep 29, 16:15
Captain Caveman on The Turning Point: “What is it with you, Confused? You act like a particularly thick, foul-mouthed, petulant teenager who’s just discovered a keyboard,…” Sep 29, 14:20
gm on His Majesty’s Loyal Sabre: “There are many more anti as opposed to pro independence posts on this site. It makes you wonder about the…” Sep 29, 14:17
Confused on The Turning Point: “sir ranulph fiennes is currently living in my garage; some blondie slipped me a monkey to “look after her dad”…” Sep 29, 13:41
Aidan on Cowering From Destiny: “By “neutral” I assume you mean “undefended”, there will be no remaining neutral for Scotland if all out war breaks…” Sep 29, 13:36
Confused on The Turning Point: “the triple lock – this is something that has been in the sights for a while now, especially in the…” Sep 29, 13:33
James on Cowering From Destiny: “Hilarious, Adrian – stop it! Oh, ma sides….” Sep 29, 13:20
Alf Baird on Cowering From Destiny: “” I’d love more not to be at risk of heading for an all out war in Europe which I’m…” Sep 29, 13:18
James on Cowering From Destiny: “Ah dinnae hate you, son; I pity you.” Sep 29, 13:18
Aidan on Cowering From Destiny: ““P just wants to SELL YOU CHEAP GAS. Think about that when winter comes, you halfwits with your little blue…” Sep 29, 12:50
Aidan on Cowering From Destiny: “Yeah it’s hilarious isn’t it James – all those people being murdered” Sep 29, 12:42
TURABDIN on The Turning Point: “such a shame the woman showed minimal leadership in the direction for which she and her colleagues were elected. Her…” Sep 29, 12:31
robertkknight on The Turning Point: “Oh deary me… What’s the chances you realise that nobody on here, with possibly a single notable exception, actually gives…” Sep 29, 10:39
PRJ on The Turning Point: “The arrest of Murrell should have seen a clear out of the hierarchy of the SNP, they were all complicit…” Sep 29, 09:27
willie on The Turning Point: “The reorganisation of local government is not pointless Peter. The cull of the 32 Scottish Councils into 5 is a…” Sep 29, 08:53
Hatey McHateface on The Turning Point: “What’s the chances you and the rest of the tribe don’t recall how you’ve voted, in election after election, eh,…” Sep 29, 08:40
Hatey McHateface on Cowering From Destiny: “Zat you hating there, James? Ye can hae a speshul dispensation tae tak yer maw doon intae the tunnel wi…” Sep 29, 08:34
Hatey McHateface on The Turning Point: “Aye, Bob. “We wus roabbed” Ye’ve learned the wirds aff by hert. If only ye’d haud some spark of ability,…” Sep 29, 08:30
factchecker on The Turning Point: “I understand your frustration. But that is why we have a Scottish parliament stuffed with (largely) incompetent SNP apparatchiks who…” Sep 29, 08:27
robertkknight on The Turning Point: “Just as well I had spent a penny a mere two minutes before reading this, else I may have had…” Sep 29, 08:21
Angus on The Turning Point: ““But she stalled and stalled until she ran out of time and the chance was gone.” Isn’t that exactly what…” Sep 29, 05:12
Peter McAvoy on The Turning Point: “Some may say that the SNP no longer support Scottish Independence,they could be easily convinced by many recent actions some…” Sep 29, 02:57
robertkknight on The Turning Point: “Time to play “Idiot Bingo” on October 1st… I’ll be placing an X in the box next to all 7…” Sep 29, 00:39
robertkknight on The Turning Point: ““Nationalists easily forget that the Scottish people stopped independence at the ballot. Not MI5.” Utter bollocks as usual… 53% of…” Sep 28, 23:50
Spartan 117 on The Turning Point: “Leftist political parties are inevitably of the destructive kind, following the Soviet model of “burn everything down and rebuild in…” Sep 28, 23:34
Ebok on The Turning Point: “Cuphook says: ‘The surge in the Green vote was due to Polanski’ Spartan 117 says: ‘The surge in Green voting…” Sep 28, 23:20
James on Cowering From Destiny: “And don’t forget; “Pricks” like you too, wee man.” Sep 28, 22:34
Hatey McHateface on Cowering From Destiny: ““I try not to hate anyone” Dinna hold yersel back, James. Nobody you hate will ever give a damn.” Sep 28, 21:50