The social-media reaction to this post yesterday was astonishing. Merely pointing out calmly and quietly that our warnings before the election had been entirely vindicated, and that everyone else’s unequivocal assertions of a guaranteed SNP majority had been the rubbish we always said they were, unleashed a torrent of abuse equal to any we’ve ever endured in the last four and a half years – distinguished only by the fact that so much of this one came from supposed Yes supporters.
But no amount of screaming and shouting will change the facts. Let’s look at them.
The first (and from our perspective, most important) thing to note is that independence is now categorically and unequivocally off the table for at least half a decade.
The failure of the SNP to secure another Holyrood majority last night (for the want of just 360 votes) combined with the Greens’ weasel-worded opposition to a second referendum – and make no mistake, opposition is what it is – will ensure that even if the rUK votes to leave the EU and Scotland votes overwhelmingly to stay in, there will be no indyref before the next Holyrood election in 2021.
Whatever else happens, you can take that to the bank.
During this election campaign, there’ve been the usual bouts of political sparring, the tit-for-tat point-scoring frenzy played out through a plethora of media. One particular battleground, though, had a special resonance for me – the “Named Person” scheme.
I’m a former “looked-after” child. I’ve suffered the abuse and neglect that this scheme is intended to help protect children from. Having scrutinised the details for myself, I fully support it.
The rise of the SNP has so bewildered the metropolitan commentariat that even almost a decade after the party won its first Scottish election pundits still barely know which way to face to confront it. A case in point can be found in today’s Times.
It’s been quite a 24 hours for watchers of the UK media. The Sunday papers saw two of the most demented rants to have been committed to print about Scottish politics since the independence referendum.
One came from Neil Oliver in the Sunday Times – painting a blood-curdling picture of a “second hate-fest”should Scots ever choose to debate the subject again – and the other from Leo McKinstry in the Sunday Express, beside itself with unhinged rage that Scots, having voted to remain in the UK, might exercise their right as UK citizens to also vote to remain in the EU.
(As a result of which we’ve concluded that a narrow rUK vote in favour of Leave being overturned by a huge margin in Scotland for Remain would be the funniest thing that had ever happened in British politics.)
This evening’s Question Time saw one of the most incident-packed passages on the show in recent memory. From left to right onscreen the panellists were Paul Marshall (hedge fund manager, head of a chain of academy schools and co-author of the Lib Dems’ infamous “Orange Book”), Alex Salmond, Tory minister Greg Clark, Labour’s shadow home secretary Andy Burnham and right-wing think-tanker Jill Kirby.
We’re looking forward to the publication of the Scottish Labour manifesto for next month’s election, which is due to be published on Wednesday, just eight days before the vote. We confidently anticipate that it will definitively clear up a few issues we’re still not absolutely sure of the branch office’s position on.
But note how delicately that tweet is phrased. The clear implication – while not directly stated – is that only the Tories were responsible for the promises.
Fearghas MacFhionnlaigh on Pandora’s Campervan: “Ebok: « It’s difficult to put into words the appreciation for, and admiration of, the sheer volume and depth of…” Jun 2, 18:22
Bob Johnston on Pandora’s Campervan: “I thought Grace Mugabe, sorry Peter Murrell, look quite untroubled in court. Then I remembered the missing quarter of a…” Jun 2, 18:13
Terry on Pandora’s Campervan: “Woo hoo! Just seen you on stv news. Fantastic! If ever there was an embodiment of the saying “the truth…” Jun 2, 18:10
Dan on Pandora’s Campervan: “Well, I can recall with interest Craig Murray stating there may have been something bigger in the mix when the…” Jun 2, 18:07
Alf Baird on Pandora’s Campervan: ““this stupid guy is in charge of a Country!” Correction, he is heading up a colonial administration which by its…” Jun 2, 17:47
Bilbo on Pandora’s Campervan: “More important than all of this. PayPal Kavanagh is off sick again. Dig deep and click on that donate button…” Jun 2, 17:38
agentx on Pandora’s Campervan: “He told reporters that there had been a “colossal breach of trust”. Swinney said that while the party’s systems were…” Jun 2, 17:16
Tenruh on Pandora’s Campervan: “Heard today that Murrell and Swinney have been friends since childhood,any truth in that?” Jun 2, 17:08
AdamH on Pandora’s Campervan: “That Tommy Sheppard article He (now) knows exactly what went wrong yet seems to have no recognition of being 1…” Jun 2, 16:48
Anne on Pandora’s Campervan: “Is it not more likely that this excess of pointless bling purchasing and overspend on office refurbishment is a way…” Jun 2, 16:34
Ebok on Pandora’s Campervan: “It’s difficult to put into words the appreciation for, and admiration of, the sheer volume and depth of work being…” Jun 2, 16:16
agentx on Pandora’s Campervan: “Why embezzle a camper van and never use it?” Jun 2, 15:34
Ian on Pandora’s Campervan: “Incidentally, when those figures for ‘audio visual’ came out, I remember trying to compile a realistic invoice for a conference…” Jun 2, 15:30
agentx on Pandora’s Campervan: “Murrell was CEO of SNP from 2001. Murrell married Sturgeon in July 2010 The offences started 12 August 2010. ———————————————–…” Jun 2, 15:25
Alf Baird on Pandora’s Campervan: ““The Brits are past masters in dirty trickery, subversion, great gaming” Indeed, and especially so in the ‘strategic’ colonies where…” Jun 2, 15:25
Ian on Pandora’s Campervan: “Given that the motor home was never used, and stuffed full of ‘luxury’ goods, you can’t help thinking that Murrell…” Jun 2, 15:23
100%Yes on Pandora’s Campervan: “What ever surplus money the SNP got he or them just spent it on what ever they wanted, wither it…” Jun 2, 14:53
Cynicus on Pandora’s Campervan: ““Begs the question, why did the Crown feel they had to agree to a deal? Could they not have proved…” Jun 2, 14:44
100%Yes on Pandora’s Campervan: “Sturgeon forced to answer for herself on national TV, with crocodile tears, only to turn round and say what have…” Jun 2, 14:37
Rogueslr on Pandora’s Campervan: “With only 4 miles on the camper van it should make a good price at auction. But, I am left…” Jun 2, 14:34
BigJay on Pandora’s Campervan: “There was an interesting article in the Sunday Times, part of which outlined the Swinney/Murrell connection from their schooldays, church…” Jun 2, 14:23
agentx on Pandora’s Campervan: “PUBLIC FUNDS £8,143,658.37 in Short Money from the House of Commons £2,437,821.47 in policy development grants from the Electoral Commission…” Jun 2, 14:21
Iain Ross on The View From Row Z: “The van should be shown in the Balance Sheet at cost price (ex VAT) less accumulated depreciation. Not sure what…” Jun 2, 14:19
Andy Wiltshire on Pandora’s Campervan: “Exactly! Come on Wingers, there must be a lawyer here who can address this vital point.” Jun 2, 14:13
RobertG on Pandora’s Campervan: “I also wonder if the deliberate own goal decision to go to the Supreme Court over indyref2 was part of…” Jun 2, 14:12
Rocky on Pandora’s Campervan: “Who were the Sloggi knickers for?” Jun 2, 14:09
Jim Anderson on Pandora’s Campervan: “Getting interesting as the extent and timing of the control failures by Beattie and Sturgeon that favoured Murrell’s criminality are…” Jun 2, 14:05
barelybare on Pandora’s Campervan: ““I’ve been through the 107 pages of items bought by Peter Murrell” Keep in mind that BBC list excludes all…” Jun 2, 13:59