The tweet comes days after a Scottish Labour candidate tweeted a meme depicting someone spraying bleach on SNP MP Joanna Cherry with the caption “BANG! and the terf is gone”, despite said candidate being supported by the Jo Cox Foundation – a charity set up after the Labour MP of that name was murdered with a gun.
You probably haven’t heard of me. I’m a notoriously “vile” political blogger who’s said a few pretty mean things on social media about politicians in the last eight years. But perhaps that’s partly because I’m a grumpy old white guy who hasn’t had the benefit of your commendable programme aimed at “building the fairer, kinder & more tolerant world the late Jo Cox MP believed in”.
As we steel ourselves for the wretched purgatorial misery of (at least) the next six weeks, we’ve been sitting up late trying to think of a positive aspect of the coming election campaign, and the best we’ve come up with is this: if it’s awful for most human beings in the country, just imagine how terrible it is for Nigel Farage.
Because as has been increasingly obvious from the Brexit Party leader’s comments this month, Farage knows only too well the truth that the rest of the country is going to realise quite soon, if it hasn’t already: he’s now the only thing that might stop the UK leaving the European Union.
It’s a long time, apparently. Because while a general election on 12 December would be a “barking mad” idea according to the SNP’s Westminster leader Ian Blackford on Thursday, having one on 9 December instead is genius.
So in a month in which this site has been extensively screamed at by SNP diehards as the work of a “traitor” and an “MI5 plant” for suggesting that maybe the SNP could vote with the Tories (or perhaps just abstain) to let Boris Johnson’s Brexit deal go through in exchange for a second indyref, the official SNP plan is to now vote with the Tories to give them the election Boris Johnson has been trying to call for weeks – which all polls suggest he’d win, allowing him to enact any sort of Brexit he wants – but to cleverly NOT get a second indyref out of it.
It’s Monday morning, readers, so welcome once again to the world’s favourite situation comedy, the United Kingdom.
The current position is that absolutely nobody has the slightest idea what’s going to happen this week, or today, or by lunchtime. The Prime Minister is as we speak being taken to court (again), and a whole series of votes in the House Of Commons may or may not take place and may or may not determine anything.
But there’s one particularly interesting thing going on.
As we write this, Boris Johnson’s new Brexit deal appears to hang in the balance. According to Sky News this morning the arithmetic is poised on a knife-edge.
The four “in play” groups down the middle of the graphic are, from the top: three Tory “Spartans” (hardcore Brexiters who might yet back the deal), 19 Labour MPs who’ve suggested they might do so for various reasons, 20 former-Tory “rebels” who had the whip removed by Johnson for voting to block no-deal, and 14 independents, mainly from the “Change UK” wing or whatever they’re called this week.
The government needs 36 of the 56 to vote with it to get the deal through, and can probably count on most of the 20 former Tories. Labour sources are suggesting, quite plausibly, that double-figure numbers of their 19 will also back the deal. So it’s close.
If it passes, England and Wales will get what they voted for (Brexit), Northern Ireland will – after a fashion – get what it voted for (effectively staying in the EU), and Scotland will get shafted. It’ll be placed at a significant economic disadvantage to NI, at a likely severe cost in jobs and investment. The nation which voted the most decisively on Brexit (for either option) will be the only one not to get its democratic wishes respected.
And slightly surprisingly, the whole UK thinks that’s unfair.
As we write this, voting has just ended to elect the membership of a number of key SNP internal bodies, including the Member Conduct Committee which has the power to discipline members and even expel them from the party.
This year has seen a concerted attempt by a small but active faction within the SNP, led by the Young Scots for Independence and Out For Indy groups, to flood the MCC (which in normal times struggles to fill its ranks) with officers aggressively committed to transgender ideology, with the openly-declared intent of purging “gender-critical” women from all party candidate lists and ensuring that anyone seeking to protect women’s sex-based rights can be expunged for “transphobia”.
(An attempt to deselect Joanna Cherry on such grounds failed earlier this year, but with control of the MCC the faction could pretty much dump anyone it wanted to.)
The matter has not escaped the attention of the independence-hostile media.
We avoided discussing the committee elections while voting was taking place because it’s not our business to interfere in the internal affairs of the SNP, and also because a certain element of the party has been having a massive tantrum over some poll results we published last week and it might have ended up being counter-productive.
But make no mistake – the outcome of these elections will have a huge impact on both the SNP’s electoral fortunes and the chances of securing independence. We’re about to find out, in other words, how screwed we are.
robertkknight on Vibecoding A Better World: “That’s the least of your worries… There’s clearly other issues elsewhere! (I speak as a sufferer of osteoarthritis in both…” Nov 1, 19:59
Hatey McHateface on Vibecoding A Better World: “I get it, Alf. Having higher petrol and diesel prices than ours in Norway doesn’t matter because of “context”. As…” Nov 1, 19:30
Aidan on Vibecoding A Better World: “The charging infrastructure in Norway is excellent – i’ve seen EV chargers on unsurfaced roads. However, just under 70% of…” Nov 1, 19:17
100%Yes on Vibecoding A Better World: “Your leader boosting he’s prepared to work with Burnham but isn’t prepared to work to delivery the mandate again the…” Nov 1, 19:04
Alf Baird on Vibecoding A Better World: “Context Hatey! Few care about the price of diesel/petrol in Norway when 90% of cars sold there are electric, aided…” Nov 1, 18:47
Hatey McHateface on Vibecoding A Better World: ““Why nit focus on the real enemy” The spelling and grammar police?” Nov 1, 18:24
Hatey McHateface on Vibecoding A Better World: ““highest energy prices in the world” It’s bizarre that Alf consistently posts these same lies over and over again when…” Nov 1, 18:21
Izzie on Vibecoding A Better World: “Abd we won the by election. And we are pleading in the polls Where are Alba again? If this sites…” Nov 1, 18:07
Captain Caveman on Vibecoding A Better World: “Good grief man. Your victim complex really does know no bounds. What a humourless “fud”. Bore off.” Nov 1, 17:57
Alf Baird on Vibecoding A Better World: ““if you have to explain a joke” A colonized people are invariably made the butt of colonialist jokes for colonialism…” Nov 1, 17:43
Captain Caveman on Vibecoding A Better World: “@Alf Whoosh. “Izzy Skint” was a well known Dandy comic character from the 1970s. So yeah, my background reading as…” Nov 1, 16:22
100%Yes on Vibecoding A Better World: “Your comment might have got an applause on The National but to insults us on Wings with this bull shame…” Nov 1, 16:09
Alf Baird on Vibecoding A Better World: “Plundered colonies are always “skint” and under-developed; in Scotland’s case external wealth extraction amounts to £150+ billion a year, resulting…” Nov 1, 16:09
robertkknight on Vibecoding A Better World: “I think Izzie is going door-to-door for the Scotto. More chance of winning that than of the SNP adopting a…” Nov 1, 16:03
GM on Vibecoding A Better World: “I agree with the sentiment MaryB but I am not so sure about your analysis of what is happening in…” Nov 1, 15:29
Izzie on Vibecoding A Better World: “Out leafleting today. It’s time to choose … CHOOSE SCOTLAND” Nov 1, 14:17
Hatey McHateface on Vibecoding A Better World: “An interesting read. Somebody should tell Professor Baird how the writer dismisses “international law”.” Nov 1, 14:06
Hatey McHateface on Vibecoding A Better World: “How is Scotland’s Mammie these days? It must be quite embarrassing for all those former worshippers of the ground Sturgeon…” Nov 1, 14:01
Hatey McHateface on Vibecoding A Better World: ““The students are revolting” There was me thinking the immigrants are revolting, asserting their new-found credo that just because their…” Nov 1, 13:37
Northcode on Vibecoding A Better World: “Yes, Hatey. Unlike the flawed reasoning inherent in the views of Salvo, Liberation Scotland, Alf Baird and others, your logic…” Nov 1, 12:22
sarah on Vibecoding A Better World: “The UK government still refers to the Treaty of Union as the basis of the current arrangement.” Nov 1, 11:17
Izzie on Vibecoding A Better World: “Nicola did well on BBC TV with Laura Kuenssberg. Sensible and focused. Sorely missed in Scottish politics IMHO” Nov 1, 10:57
MaryB on Vibecoding A Better World: “Sarah 31.10 The current UK government’s austerity policies have made sure that most people are too worried about job security,…” Nov 1, 10:33
Hatey McHateface on Vibecoding A Better World: “The surest route to the breakup of the UK would be for some supra-national entity to tell Scotland, England, Wales…” Nov 1, 10:29
Northcode on Vibecoding A Better World: “The “union” is a historical act, not a current constitutional relationship. The Treaty of Union (1707) was a founding event…” Nov 1, 10:03
Spartan 117 on Vibecoding A Better World: “https://waronomics.substack.com/p/the-long-war-of-the-21st-century An interesting and sobering summary of the current state of the world.” Nov 1, 09:59