Alert readers may have noticed with barely-concealed disinterest that Scottish Labour have announced their intention to have another really hard think about devolution.
With Labour not looking like being in power at either Holyrood or Westminster for at least a decade, and their opinions therefore being about as relevant as our ideas as to who should play in the back four for Real Madrid next weekend, most papers treated the news with the gravitas it deserved, such as this report in the Sunday Post:
But we thought it might be a snappy idea to keep track of all the times the Unionist parties have promised that they’ve come up with the ultimate form of devo-X.
Unionists got very excited last week about a YouGov poll for the Times which showed that not only had the post-Brexit bump in support for independence been undone, but that it was now (fractionally) below the level recorded in the indyref for the first time since the September 2014 vote.
(It was a slightly curious poll, with a massively disproportionate number – over 27% – of its respondents born outside Scotland, mostly from the rest of the UK, but it was weighted so that shouldn’t have been much of a factor. It also found majority support for a second EU referendum, despite a 30-point margin for Remain, but opposition to a second indyref despite the margin for the Union being just 12 points.)
Nevertheless, given that nothing’s happened since the end of June that ought to have damaged the case for Yes (the oil price is currently at a 12-month high, for example, almost twice what it was in January), the 10% drop in support is a troubling one for the independence movement.
But it shouldn’t be. Because what the poll shows is that there is currently a majority of people in Scotland prepared to vote for independence.
The Prime Minister of the UK, whose party has one MP in Scotland, officially tells the Commons that she doesn’t believe people on benefits should be able to survive.
I wasn’t going to mention this on the site because it’s basically a personal matter, but as most readers don’t use Twitter or Facebook it probably ought to be briefly filed for the record, given the amount of media coverage there’s been.
For some reason the Unionist community has this week been turning the bullhorn up to maximum on the subject of pensions. Most likely provoked by the publication of Dr Craig Dalzell’s fascinating “Beyond GERS”, the usual suspects have returned to the scaremongering tactics deployed during the indyref, attempting to terrorise the elderly with blood-curdling threats of destitution once again.
It’s a bewildering approach, given that the situation regarding pensions is one of the few around independence about which there is known certainty. The UK government already pays the state pension to millions of people outside the UK, under rules which would apply in exactly the same way if Scotland became a “foreign” country.
But just for fun, let’s look at exactly what the situation would be in the monumentally implausible event that Blair McDougall was telling the truth for once.
Readers of this site will be well aware of the many failings and limitations of GERS, aka Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland – the document which serves as the informal accounts of a devolved Scotland but tells us next to nothing about the finances of an independent Scotland, as noted just a few weeks ago by the impartial multinational auditors Deloitte.
An article I produced this week for the Common Weal White Paper Project – Beyond GERS – has generated much critical response from Unionists, though some of it has at least been constructive.
Spurred on by the mention of the article by David Torrance in Monday’s Herald, in a column containing several serious inaccuracies, I’ve seen various misunderstandings and misconceptions about it which ought to be addressed.
twathater on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “I remember the snp used to BOAST that HR was the gayest wee parliament in the world , now they…” Mar 27, 17:50
Lorncal on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “Minorities are usually backed by people who have another agenda altogether and would dispense with the minority as soon as…” Mar 27, 17:25
Lorncal on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “The science is relatively simple, YL. Cheek swabs are DNA tested. All the cells in the human body will show…” Mar 27, 16:52
Mark Beggan on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “Baby Senator Kennedy says; The Democrats have changed their minds on Homeland Security quicker than a one legged cat in…” Mar 27, 14:25
Mark Beggan on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “The silence in Scotland concerning the Pakistani Grooming Gangs is deafening.” Mar 27, 14:10
Confused on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “here’s an interesting thing : why do highly vocal minorities wield so much power in democracies where naively “the will…” Mar 27, 12:36
Confused on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “every day is now a gay day on wings The PIPEworks on MetroPOLE Lane — billed as Scotland’s largest gay…” Mar 27, 12:32
Confused on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “fantasies of power and relevance https://archive.ph/OFQUr – they spend HUGE amounts on all this crap, the least you would hope…” Mar 27, 12:30
Geri on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “The war with Iran (& R) is to cut off China. They can’t compete so are setting about cutting off…” Mar 27, 11:03
100%Yes on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “Sven, May’s election is going to be a interesting night. I might just need to take a day from diet…” Mar 27, 10:44
agentx on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “It would have sent a stronger positive election message for Labour in Scotland if they had agreed to the China…” Mar 27, 09:54
Sven on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “100%Yes I doubt anything would persuade that particular Tite-Barnacle to voluntarily detatch himself from the rich pickings on the ship…” Mar 27, 08:22
100%Yes on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “I see James Kelly has nothing to right about so he’s attacking a Indy party instead. The guy a real…” Mar 27, 08:18
Geri on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “Yer not wrong but I think it is the holy sites that protect them. The Saudis don’t give a shit…” Mar 27, 07:57
Dan on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “Do we actually need any more windfarms built at this pint in time, when the grid is unable to cope…” Mar 27, 07:54
robertkknight on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “In other news… Former council leader guilty of sexually assaulting young men – BBC News https://share.google/7ALHmuqmWRW3TZMKR Who knew…” Mar 27, 07:46
Geri on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “I dated I rugby player once.. all rugged & handsome. I asked, so how did ye get intae Rugby then?…” Mar 27, 07:21
Geri on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “Aye John, This is what happens when you spaff mandates up the wall & squander 56 MPs at Westminster. You…” Mar 27, 07:11
Cynicus on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “The Offord Joke: Hats off to The National for publishing it. Old hat. I’d heard a version of it decades…” Mar 27, 02:01
100%Yes on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “Labour on track to lose 2000 Councillors in this coming May’s election, now this will cause Sir Starmer to resign…” Mar 26, 23:11
Del G on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “Your Party had not so much a faint hope as no hope of impacting the Scottish election: formed far too…” Mar 26, 22:46
agentx on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: ““John Swinney has said it is “not a coincidence” that the UK Government announced its decision to block a Chinese-backed…” Mar 26, 22:41
Del G on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “Your Party had not so much a faint hope as no hope of impacting the Scottish election: formed far too…” Mar 26, 22:39
Geri on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “I wouldn’t feel safe visiting Holyrood. Imagine if you were a tourist stumbling intae the gayest gaff in all of…” Mar 26, 20:22
Mark Beggan on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “Couldn’t have said it better myself. Totally agree. I have never been to prison but I believe the first question…” Mar 26, 20:15
Geri on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “He’s a nasty piece of work. That was him behind the astro turfing fake no borders campaign during indyref. Caught…” Mar 26, 20:00
Frank Gillougley on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “Dan, 1kW Electricity for 8p 1 m3 of gas is 23p 1 litre of diesel is 135p in Hungary the…” Mar 26, 19:56
Confused on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “wonder if jordan the bummer will be taking excessively long showers in addiewell, dropping the soap repeatedly and asking if…” Mar 26, 19:39
Dan on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “Hi Frank, any idea how much regular diesel is out where you are? I had to do a double take…” Mar 26, 19:34
George Ferguson on Let’s Call The Whole Thing Off: “Day 1 of the election and I am already thinking about a complaint to Ofcom and the Electoral Commission. An…” Mar 26, 19:34