Alert readers may recall our ongoing enquiry with the Scottish Conservatives and the Information Commissioner’s Office about what may or may not constitute a lawful and legitimate “petition”, if one is conducted over a period of several years (during which signatories may changes their opinions, or die) and is never delivered to its supposed recipient, but merely used as a data-harvesting device.
Poor old Gary Smith and the rest of the super-unionist GMB. We wonder how many times the UK government has to kick them up the arse before they stop bending over.
We’re pretty sure we’ll need to take our shoes and socks off to count, though.
An alert Wings reader noted that they hadn’t been able to locate any coverage by the state broadcaster of the SNP’s annual conference this weekend either, even though they send live cameras to just about any other party’s gatherings even if they amount to three people in a phone box (hi, Scottish Lib Dems).
We got a tweet this morning from one of those odd Twitter accounts that’s been going for eight years and still only has six followers. This one appears to be a fairly moderate right-wing, UK-nationalist Brexiter with only a few dozen tweets (nearly all replies) to their name since 2011.
…unfortunately. The hottest topic of debate within the Yes movement in recent months has been currency, and what sort of it a prospective independent Scotland should use. We’ve avoided it because it’s such a boring and pointless debate (at this stage, at least), and because the impact it had on the first referendum was vastly less than the media frantically insists.
We already live in a world of multiple currencies. People buy things seamlessly on the internet from Europe or the USA or China with all the exchange transactions handled automatically and invisibly. It can cause some issues for businesses, but it simply isn’t an issue for the huge majority of voters, however obsessively politics nerds debate it.
But just for the sake of argument, and for the benefit of delegates to this weekend’s SNP conference in Edinburgh, here’s what they think right now.
By comfortably more than two to one in our Panelbase poll conducted in March, Scots want to keep using the pound forever after independence. Yes voters marginally prefer a transition to a new currency, but only one in six want to go there on day one, and almost as many as want to transition want to stay with Sterling permanently. No voters – who are the people we need to persuade, remember – are overwhelmingly in favour of keeping the pound, with only 16% wanting a new Scottish currency at any point.
Wings has no position on the subject, because to be quite honest we don’t understand it well enough. Strong arguments have been made on various sides and we’re not sure which one we favour yet. It’s a decision for an independent Scottish Government.
But what these findings tell us is what the public thinks – and therefore which options would play the best in a referendum – and the public isn’t in much doubt at all.
The First Minister’s speech to Parliament today contained a single useful and practical step: by aiming to pass the legislation required to conduct a second independence referendum by the end of this year, Scotland will be well prepared to act swiftly in the event that such a vote somehow becomes a reality.
On how to make it become a reality, there was nothing.
Alert readers will know by now that there’s nothing the Scottish media – and the Scottish Daily Mail in particular – likes more than printing scary-sounding figures with no context whatsoever by which people could judge how big or small they really are.
Nothing’s changed today (other than a rather sneaky inset shot of an old story about a different statistic which misleadingly makes today’s one look like a big increase), so rather than bang on we’ll just fill in the blanks: ScotRail runs around 760,000 trains a year, so this year’s cancellation figures amount to about 3.5% of all trains.
Which is to say, around one time in every 30 that you go to get a train it’ll have been cancelled and you’ll have to wait for the next one, which on the average commuter line will probably mean 15-20 minutes.
Which is still a pain in the hole, of course, but if it’s such a high number ask yourself why the Mail is so pathologically averse to simply telling you what percentage it is.
We’ll see you again with these figures in a few weeks, folks.
(This article was originally intended to go up on Wednesday, but it was somewhat overtaken by events before it was finished.)
This week has seen another of those strange coincidences by which a whole slew of Unionist pundits all randomly decide to start talking about the same subject. On this occasion it was the rape clause, and why it proved the SNP are bad.
Northcode on The value bet: “If there isn’t an ATLS candidate to vote for on the constituency list you can vote on the regional ballot…” May 7, 10:14
Geri on The value bet: “& the advice to those who don’t have one on the constituency list?” May 7, 10:02
Captain Caveman on The value bet: “My prediction is they’ll lose their deposit in every single constituency they contest, having garnered an absolutely derisory vote in…” May 7, 10:01
Geri on Seven Days Too Long: “Lorna Have you seen the video footage? He was already tasered & on the ground. One guy, dressed in commando…” May 7, 09:59
Dan on The value bet: “Aye Alf, check out AIdan there, desperately jumping straight in and trying to denigrate and tarnish Craig. Ask oneself jist…” May 7, 09:52
Mark Beggan on Pick Your Poison: “Looking forward to the autopsy tomorrow. All said and done I will sleep well tonight. I’ve done my bit for…” May 7, 09:45
Northcode on The value bet: ““That is why I urge people to vote to put real radical firebrands into the Scottish parliament, like myself, Tommy…” May 7, 09:41
Northcode on The value bet: “I have to say, Chas, that your use of the ‘cunt’ word just doesn’t have the same rhetorical impact as…” May 7, 09:37
Alf Baird on The value bet: “Each Alliance to Liberate Scotland candidate is worth at least a dozen useless UK-vetted SNP colonial administrators.” May 7, 09:33
Aidan on The value bet: “You haven’t done any of those things. You haven’t provided any evidence in particular, other than rather generously telling us…” May 7, 09:24
Aidan on The value bet: “Craig Murray – a guy who’s never met a piece of “R” propaganda that he doesn’t like. He will cause…” May 7, 09:21
Dan on The value bet: “Hmm, not really such a tricky decision as to who to vote for after comparing the worth of content generated…” May 7, 09:06
100%Yes on Pick Your Poison: “Opinion polls with no opinion. I would love to know if their is going to be an exit poll?” May 7, 08:56
Bilbo on Pick Your Poison: “Wingers beware when going out voting today. There are a few parties on the regional list that have similar names…” May 7, 08:49
Chas on The value bet: “Vote for ATLS and demonstrate to all that you have wasted your vote and are a thick cunt……..just like Northclown.” May 7, 08:37
Captain Caveman on Seven Days Too Long: “Well well everyone, Geri seems uncharacteristically quiet on this one? At a wild guess, maybe it’s the realisation that on…” May 7, 08:19
Northcode on The value bet: “This is a party political broadcast on behalf of: The Alliance to Liberate Scotland Party (ATLS). First, it should be…” May 7, 08:14
James Che on The value bet: “Like I posted not so long ago, Even if you spell it out, supply the information, point the unionist in…” May 7, 07:19
Aidan on The value bet: “The excuses are starting early for the Alliance’s upcoming terrible performance, you’ll hear a lot about “media blackouts” “d-notices” and…” May 7, 06:09
Angus on Pick Your Poison: “Ultimately, who cares about the carpetbagging MSPs, every single one of them? Because Scots are sovereign, remember? Every carpetbagging MSP…” May 7, 05:01
Al-Stuart on Pick Your Poison: “. So basically, James Kelly’s “third best political blog in Scotland” has poisoned enough feeble minded Amadans into voting “SNP…” May 7, 04:39
Geri on The value bet: “” someone, somewhere in that vast civil service – has run the numbers (and they do have the numbers, numbers…” May 7, 01:42
Insider on The value bet: ““James” @ 10:45 What the hell are you gibbering about now ? Statues of who ?” May 6, 23:46
James on The value bet: “What are the chances of you voting Tory? (100%).” May 6, 23:09
Confused on The value bet: “One thing people should realise is that the polls can also be bent; he who pays the piper – one…” May 6, 23:05
Mark Beggan on The value bet: “So you will be able to collect your winnings in 2326.” May 6, 23:04
James Che on The value bet: “Did you know that Statues of the realm of England do not contain any Scottish or Irish Statues. Even after…” May 6, 22:45
James Che on The value bet: “I foresee Scotlands independent country voting for a further three hundred years of Colonial rule and missing the open goal.…” May 6, 22:26
Geri on The value bet: “Let me see… Is it cause two of them actually attempt to serve Scots & they’re not genocidal peado apologists?…” May 6, 22:25
James Che on The value bet: “We hve been an independent Country in Scotlant since 1707, Whats wrong? You want to pretend that your in a…” May 6, 22:18