The SNP have been pretty clear about the reason they think they got a battering in last week’s election: it was because people were voting to kick out the Tories.
Now, that’s obviously nonsense. There were almost no Tories in Scotland to start with – just 10% of voters had a Tory MP – and only one of the six actually lost his seat. (Which was entirely down to the ham-fisted interference of Douglas Ross rather than an SNP surge – the SNP’s vote share in the seat in question went DOWN.)
If you wanted to keep Tories out in Scotland all you had to do was keep voting for your current MP, most of whom were SNP, rather than risk splitting the anti-Tory vote by switching to Labour and risk letting the Tories squeeze through in the middle. (Which would have happened in many seats had the Tories’ own vote not collapsed.)
But if it was true that the SNP lost because the electorate thought the election was about getting rid of the Tories, whose fault was that?
To be honest, folks, we’re not quite sure what to do with ourselves at the moment.
Everyone and his wee dug is writing election-aftermath columns and offering the SNP advice of varying intelligence and solemnity about how to recover from the shattering blow they’ve just been dealt by Scottish voters.
But it’s a pointless exercise. They may as well be yelling down a manhole.
The Scottish Greens, in a feat of remarkable hubris and financial profligacy, stood 44 candidates in this week’s general election, knowing that most of them would lose their deposits, which they duly did.
But not quite all of them. And there the comedy arose.
Because while SNP boneheads on social media are raging idiotically at Alba, Wings and others for causing division and damaging the unity of the indy cause yada yada yada, a small handful of Green candidates made a real difference.
The 2005 election was the last time the Daily Record and the Scottish Sun both endorsed the same party at a UK general election. So, y’know, something is going on.
Survation released their final projection for the election last night. It’s quite a boring image because they had to make it mostly grey to correctly illustrate the margin of Labour’s lead.
Those ranges are substantial, but even their BEST-case scenario for the Tories is below 100 seats. The WORST-case scenario for Labour – 447 seats – still gives them a majority of 244, which would smash the all-time record of 209 set by the Tories exactly 100 years ago. (The best case is a dizzying 384.)
Scotland is probably the hardest area of the UK to call. In most polls there are only a few points between Labour and the SNP, and depending on how the votes are spread and who’s best at getting their support out either could still win the most seats.
That won’t, of course, make the slightest difference to the governance of the UK for the next five years. Even 57 Scottish MPs out of 57, for any party, would be completely meaningless to a government with a majority of over 200.
But it’ll make a big difference to the independence movement. Because if the SNP manages to hold onto to a significant proportion of its seats, we can all wave goodbye to the slightest chance of progress for another decade on top of the one that’s been wasted since Alex Salmond resigned.
In the modern political world, you don’t get anywhere without a movement, and movements don’t get anywhere without a flag. So we’ve decided it’s time to take action and stand up for a very large group of people who are genuinely discriminated against and significantly disadvantaged in our society.
Here’s their symbol.
Today is July 1st, and we officially, on behalf of all our oppressed kinfolk, declare this to be People Who Aren’t Eligible For A Railcard Pride Month.
Bilbo on Seven Days Too Long: “O/T I see that the BBC is making cuts to it’s News operation but this is the part that interested…” May 2, 19:00
Alf Baird on Seven Days Too Long: “Aye, an whaur’s the £150 billion+ per year missin fae oor Scottish GDP, Mark? https://yoursforscotlandcom.wordpress.com/2024/03/19/the-real-economic-price-of-the-uk-union-for-scots/comment-page-1/” May 2, 18:00
Sven on Seven Days Too Long: “Geri @ 16.19. The vids I’ve seen show one cop & what I’m guessing is a Jewish security guy trying…” May 2, 17:23
Bilbo on Seven Days Too Long: “Geri. You are saying exactly what Polanski said. If you believe what you said is true, why did Polanski apologise…” May 2, 17:13
Bilbo on Seven Days Too Long: “I don’t see text links text links to predominantly sex websites when I look at this site. Sounds like your…” May 2, 16:50
twathater on Seven Days Too Long: “Fearghas I’m afraid I don’t share your enthusiasm about the integrity and honesty of Fergus Ewing , he along with…” May 2, 16:23
Geri on Seven Days Too Long: “Sven, Allegedly – they set about kicking him in the head AFTER he had already been incapacitated & tasered. What’s…” May 2, 16:19
100%Yes on Seven Days Too Long: “Goes anyone know if Dave Llewellyn has a YouTube I know he used to do Twa Auld Heids?” May 2, 15:50
Geri on Seven Days Too Long: “Cave Dweller Wot? Like Jean Charles de Menezes? Just brutal overkill by thugs acting “On a hunch” It’s documented fact…” May 2, 15:35
Captain Caveman on Seven Days Too Long: “@Sven I think most decent people think this guy deserved all he got and more; got off very lightly indeed.…” May 2, 14:50
Del G on Seven Days Too Long: “Why am I seeing the top of your home page with dozens of text links to predominantly sex websites?” May 2, 14:34
Sven on Seven Days Too Long: “I’d suspect there are better examples of police misbehaviour than this, Geri. I’m a bit prejudiced on this as I’ve…” May 2, 14:26
Young Lochinvar on Seven Days Too Long: “Wonder why the MSN news is what it is today and who is pulling Starmers strings? Google: declassified uk for…” May 2, 14:13
Geri on Seven Days Too Long: ““They would have run you through, quick as look at you, and worried afterwards that perhaps they had defiled their…” May 2, 13:31
Geri on Seven Days Too Long: “I doubt it. Anyone who follows outside news is well aware this thuggish behaviour by law enforcement is indoctrinated, imported,…” May 2, 13:06
James Che on Seven Days Too Long: “Runners for Scottish elections registered in England. The devolved Scottish act government under The Scotland act legislation from Westminsters parliament…” May 2, 13:00
Young Lochinvar on Seven Days Too Long: “HMcH @ 7.24 Up early in the Remand block again Hatey eh? Maybe that’s why your rambling post makes no…” May 2, 12:13
TURABDIN on Seven Days Too Long: “CHICKEN OR THE EGG https://archive.is/gYo12 Two elephants vying for supremacy? Not just a matter of taste but the very heart…” May 2, 11:25
Bilbo on Seven Days Too Long: “Install Firefox, Chrome or some other internet browser.” May 2, 11:23
Bilbo on Seven Days Too Long: “I see that Polanksi has dug a right big hole for himself with his tweets. I also see that there…” May 2, 11:21
Aidan on Seven Days Too Long: “Fuck me Geri – that’s nuts even for you! Have you been to bed yet? @CC – we’ve been told…” May 2, 11:18
Aidan on Seven Days Too Long: “Fuck me Geri – that’s nuts even for you! Have you been to bed yet?” May 2, 11:17
Bilbo on Seven Days Too Long: “Second this comment from Confused. Ingrained tribalism in Scottish politics is never going to change. This will result in the…” May 2, 10:56
Captain Caveman on Seven Days Too Long: “Heh. Hot on the heels of “Geri” quoting forum rules for personal attacks, here he/she is extolling their supposed moral…” May 2, 10:14
Geri on Seven Days Too Long: “Well said, Confused. The Yes movement was like that. A collective of everyone, all political backgrounds or of none at…” May 2, 10:09
Geri on Seven Days Too Long: “I disavow nothing. I’ll gladly play tour guide Barbie if yer going to take everything literally. That’s so your type.…” May 2, 09:32
Cherrybank on Seven Days Too Long: “The You-Tuber Craig Houston stands a good chance of being elected as an independent for Glasgow.” May 2, 09:14
Fearghas MacFhionnlaigh on Seven Days Too Long: “REALLY STRUGGLING WITH DRUGS? If you are OK with a Christian ambience, Glaswegian Terry McCutcheon is founder and current Executive…” May 2, 09:13
Nicky T Naquetti on Seven Days Too Long: “@diablo Get a Linux/Ubuntu installation. Unless you are a gamer or run some esoteric Windows-only software, you can easily make…” May 2, 08:22
Hatey McHateface on Seven Days Too Long: ““carpet bomb Tehran – that’ll show them! So now those who maybe were West leaning are all dead” An odd…” May 2, 07:39