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Archive for the ‘analysis’


Saying sooths 252

Posted on January 28, 2025 by

People sometimes ask us if we get bored of being right all the time.

But in truth, we just wish we had to work a bit harder at it.

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The Silent Revolution 550

Posted on January 23, 2025 by

Robin McAlpine published a very important piece yesterday, detailing how the SNP is about to become even more of a leadership dictatorship than it already is.

You can read the article to see why this is a change of enormous importance, and a catastrophic one for the independence movement. It will make it just under 17 times harder for any sitting SNP leader to be challenged for the leadership – let alone defeated – and effectively turns the party into a private oligarchy every bit as total and unaccountable as that of Reform (which is not a member-directed political party in the conventional sense, but a limited company personally owned by Nigel Farage, who holds a majority of the voting shares and can do whatever he pleases with it).

We’re annoyed at ourselves, because we got sent the document revealing the change a month ago, but we missed it. And now we’re going to show you why.

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The Great Hollowing 140

Posted on January 20, 2025 by

The wild thing about this poll isn’t the headline that six months after winning a massive landslide majority, Keir Starmer now trails Nigel Farage – leader of a party with five MPs to Starmer’s 411 – as the electorate’s choice for best Prime Minister.

It’s the little grey numbers sitting quietly at the bottom.

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The same old tricks 247

Posted on January 16, 2025 by

Way back in the day, the Lib Dems in particular, but also other parties and the “Better Together” campaign, were infamous for the “dodgy barchart” tactic.

And so degraded is the modern SNP, it’s now scraping the same barrel.

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A crisis of democracy 274

Posted on January 14, 2025 by

In the recent US election, the Democrats made a huge play out of the notion that the very concept of democracy itself was at risk if Donald Trump won.

And yet his eventual victory was unquestionably democratic. Not only did Trump win under the electoral college system by a huge 312-226 margin, and secure control of both the Senate and the House Of Representatives, he also beat Kamala Harris in the popular vote, by 50% to 48%. By every possible count and measure, Trump was the legitimate winner and has a clear mandate to govern for the next four years.

Over in the UK, however, things aren’t quite so neat and tidy.

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Inability To Learn 194

Posted on January 12, 2025 by

Y’know, maybe we were a little harsh on the lads at Holyrood Sources yesterday when we implied that a more direct and aggressive interviewing style might have cut through John Swinney and Kate Forbes’ pathetically feeble waffling evasion on the SNP’s lack of an independence strategy in their recent podcast.

But the closest thing (along with Colin Mackay at STV) that the Scottish media has left to a proper Rottweiler interviewer – Peter Adam Smith of ITV – had a shot at that five years ago and didn’t do any better.

Smith noted that even back in 2019 Nicola Sturgeon had been droning on about how Westminster’s refusal to grant a second indy referendum was “unsustainable” for two years already. But no matter how hard he pressed, Sturgeon just kept on glibly and smugly insisting that they’d concede.

“The UK government strategy is to say no. Do you have a way around it?”

“My strategy is to say yes.” [smirks]

Readers might be forgiven for wondering how long it’s going to take the SNP to accept that that “strategy” is a failure, if seven years and three First Ministers isn’t enough for them to have worked it out. But as long as the pathologically gullible keep voting for them anyway, we suppose they have no reason to.

In Ruins 164

Posted on January 11, 2025 by

Don’t watch this. You’ll only waste 12 minutes of your life making yourself angry.

It’s our job to be angry for you.

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Where We Stand Now 333

Posted on January 05, 2025 by

Nobody really answered the question in this article from a few days ago. A few of the dimmer bulbs in the indy movement have been getting over-excited at what are still currently a couple of outlier polls from fringe polling companies, which suggest that the 2026 election could unexpectedly return a pro-indy majority due to the Unionist vote being split four ways in the wake of UK Labour’s implosion in government.

That scenario depends on all sorts of dubious propositions, but in any event what none of them have addressed is what that would change even if it did happen, given that Holyrood has a pro-indy majority RIGHT NOW (and has done so on every single day since the indyref more than a decade ago) and it’s produced nothing whatsoever in terms of movement towards independence by any possible measure.

And it occurred to us that we had genuinely no idea what the SNP’s current official indy strategy is, because the party’s been in such farcical chaos and turmoil ever since Nicola Sturgeon’s sudden resignation. So we thought we should go and check.

To be honest, we’re not much the wiser for having read it.

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The Wage Thief 385

Posted on December 09, 2024 by

6 November 2024 was a normal sitting day in the Scottish Parliament, so we shouldn’t be surprised that Nicola Sturgeon spent the previous evening in London, watching a special screening of a dreadful BBC Three sitcom about – of course – drag queens.

But remarkably, though she must have been puffy-eyed and weary, the 6th was one of the few days when she did actually manage to turn up at Holyrood to do her job.

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The New Britain 562

Posted on December 03, 2024 by

So things are getting pretty strange.

Polling in Scotland, the UK and Wales in the last few days has shown Great Britain taking a fairly heavy swerve to the right after just five months of Sir Keir Starmer’s government. Labour now lead Reform (who have five seats to Labour’s 411) by just three points in the UK and are even more remarkably now in THIRD place in Wales, a country where the party has won every single election for over 100 years.

Scotland, meanwhile, is heading for a hung Parliament in 2026 in which – as this site has been telling its readers for the last year and a half – the only possibility of a stable administration will be an SNP-Labour coalition.

We live, as they say, in interesting times.

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What Went On 468

Posted on November 28, 2024 by

The proceedings at the Supreme Court this week were a tough follow even if you could get the court’s abominably bad livestream to work. They’re all archived here now, but non-lawyers will probably glaze over quickly during the nine hours of intense legalese.

We’re not allowed to clip up any illustrative sections, on pain of possible contempt of court, so perhaps the best way to explain the key parts of what happened in a vaguely comprehensible way is by showing you some commentary from social media.

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A Personal Best For Kezia 255

Posted on November 25, 2024 by

Credit where it’s due:

17 months is the quickest she’s ever caught up with us.

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    • Hatey McHateface on Step One: “Personalised attacks on everybody is the norm. You only really notice it when it’s somebody you personally support. Looking at…Jul 13, 08:04
    • Hatey McHateface on It just takes a beat: “In no particular order: Naw. My particular hatred is reserved for the people who saddled Scotland with the Hate Crimes…Jul 13, 07:51
    • Saffron Robe on Step One: “Very well said, Stuart. The SNP’s existence now depends on failing to deliver independence; for them, failure is success -…Jul 13, 00:42
    • Mark Beggan on Step One: “Did you see those two goals by Bellingham. If only Scotland had players of this calibre.Jul 13, 00:22
    • Fearghas MacFhionnlaigh on Step One: “Dan Vevers writes: « [Ian] Dommett said: “Between 2004 and 2012. Murrell was my best client. […] Dommett added he…Jul 12, 23:10
    • Northcode on Step One: “‘Oh, did it, aye?’ Northcode 22:58Jul 12, 22:59
    • Northcode on It just takes a beat: ““It’s not as if you’ve got anything else to offer…” Do you even hear yourself… you, the most verbose bore…Jul 12, 22:57
    • Mark Beggan on Step One: “‘The law came along to multiply the trespass. But where sin multiplied, grace multiplied even more.’ Romans 5:20.Jul 12, 22:14
    • Hatey McHateface on It just takes a beat: “Good one, Northy, you get back into your comfort zone. Cursing and swearing for Scotland hasn’t got us Indy yet,…Jul 12, 22:09
    • agentx on Step One: ““An insider has now claimed that Murrell “called the shots” at Yes Scotland. It comes amid a police probe into…Jul 12, 21:34
    • Northcode on It just takes a beat: ““…But I’m being unkind…” This is what happens when a Scot tries being fair to the English… the cunts (although…Jul 12, 21:32
    • Hatey McHateface on Step One: ““He and his party will not mourn the loss of Scotland when the chips are down” That’s odd, Lorncal. He…Jul 12, 21:24
    • Lorncal on Step One: “Yes, Turabdin, and now Yes Scotland is under scrutiny, just in case we were to rally behind it and Liberation…Jul 12, 21:08
    • Steve A on It just takes a beat: “Hopefully the new Hillsborough Law will (in future) force the polish to take a more honest role in this affair.…Jul 12, 21:05
    • Hatey McHateface on It just takes a beat: ““my beef is with the English state, not ordinary English folk” How odd. So the England team doesn’t represent the…Jul 12, 20:06
    • Alastair on Step One: “Still no sign of their 2025 Accounts that were due to be submitted to the Electoral Commission by 7th JulyJul 12, 19:59
    • sam on Step One: “Polis still investigating the missing cash.Jul 12, 19:26
    • sam on It just takes a beat: “Mike Danson https://pureportal.strath.ac.uk/en/publications/towards-and-industrial-policy-for-scotland-a-discussion-of-princi/ Gerry McCartney https://vhscotland.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/Gerry-McCartney-University-of-Glasgow.pdf Mariana Mazzucato, economist Andrea Bradley, educationJul 12, 19:22
    • TURABDIN on Step One: “it was sustained civil disobedience and non cooperation that hastened the end of british rule in india not the hot…Jul 12, 19:19
    • 100%Yes on Step One: “I was reading these articles interesting how Flynn been given the task of lower food cost. People say Swinney is…Jul 12, 19:13
    • Hatey McHateface on It just takes a beat: ““This isn’t a back handed compliant” Are you sure?Jul 12, 19:12
    • Hatey McHateface on It just takes a beat: “I guess it would be a start. But don’t you also pine for Juden Frei? And from the tenor of…Jul 12, 19:09
    • Hatey McHateface on It just takes a beat: ““at which time they will reject all things Inglis” Lead from the front, Northy! Make smooth the path for the…Jul 12, 18:59
    • 100%Yes on Step One: “Thanks!Jul 12, 18:54
    • agentx on Step One: ““After Salmond’s death, MacAskill won the 2025 Alba Party leadership election. In the lead-up to the 2026 Scottish Parliament election,…Jul 12, 17:41
    • James Jones on It just takes a beat: “Interesting. Alf Baird simply takes the view that being ruled by corrupt and incompetent people with whom you have a…Jul 12, 17:23
    • 100%Yes on Step One: “What’s happening with the Alba party fraud?Jul 12, 16:58
    • Aidan on It just takes a beat: “In that vein have you seen what “friend” of the site “Heather” Herbert has got herself into hot water for?Jul 12, 16:56
    • 100%Yes on Step One: “I was listening to Robin McAlpine video below, He was saying a lot. We’ve had 12yrs of the SNP dismantling…Jul 12, 16:20
    • Rev. Stuart Campbell on The Interests Of The Many: “Yes, the SNP.Jul 12, 16:06
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