The world's most-read Scottish politics website

Wings Over Scotland


Archive for the ‘analysis’


A tonic for the troops 125

Posted on November 29, 2013 by

As a living embodiment of the posh, braying public-school Tory-boy stereotype, Fraser Nelson of the Spectator used to reside in our “Zany Comedy Relief” links bar until we kicked him out for rarely lowering himself to write about Scotland.

fnelson

But his guest appearance in today’s Telegraph we enjoyed at least parts of.

Read the rest of this entry →

What Mariano Rajoy didn’t say 234

Posted on November 28, 2013 by

In “breaking news” during a dull ding-dong of a debate on Wednesday’s Newsnight Scotland, we were breathlessly told that Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy had made an important intervention in the debate about whether Scotland should keep paying for railway lines between London and Birmingham, weapons of mass destruction and Ian Davidson’s expenses. (We paraphrase.)

rajoy

Stopping just short of a drum-roll or mariachi band (yes, those are Mexican, but are you telling us BBC Scotland would know the difference?), viewers were dramatically informed that in a major new development Mariano Rajoy had said… exactly what he’s been saying for most of the last two years. 

Read the rest of this entry →

The parameters of failure 75

Posted on November 27, 2013 by

One of Labour’s key allies in Scotland is solicitor Mike Dailly of the Govan Law Centre. Best known for his attempts to force the Scottish Government to subsidise the bedroom tax by cutting services elsewhere, he’s a venomously anti-SNP figure who rarely passes up the chance for a bit of Nat-bashing.

daillyt1

(It would, we’re sure, be overly cynical to suggest that Mr Dailly wants the bedroom tax propped up because if it was abolished he’d suddenly be out of the public eye.)

Today he’s published a blog angrily contesting the claim made in yesterday’s White Paper that the UK is one of the most unequal countries in the developed world.

We thought we’d take a look.

Read the rest of this entry →

White line fever 87

Posted on November 26, 2013 by

We’re still dutifully ploughing through “Scotland’s Future”, but in truth we’re not really its target audience. We’re already convinced, and much of it is just like reading our own articles back except in rather blander language. What we can definitely say for certain is that it doesn’t lack detail – the composition of an independent Scotland’s armed forces, for example, is laid out almost down to the rifle.

speedread

Naturally, that didn’t stop the No camp from rushing onto the nation’s TV screens within minutes of the press launch ending with their considered, serious and thoughtful assessments of a document none of them had read.

Read the rest of this entry →

The Loch Ness Monster’s underwear 119

Posted on November 26, 2013 by

There’s an atrocious piece of journalism in this morning’s Guardian, and on this particular occasion we’re referring to its technical standards rather than any bias or spin. Here are the opening paragraphs:

“The Treasury has claimed Scotland’s voters will face tax rises of £1,000 per head after independence unless the next Scottish government immediately cuts billions of pounds in spending.

In a calculated effort to undermine the release on Tuesday of the landmark white paper outlining the case for Scottish independence, the Treasury said those increases would hit 2.4m people now paying the basic rate of income tax.

It said the alternative, according to the most optimistic scenario for Scotland’s economy and debt levels sketched out last week by the Institute for Fiscal Studies, would be to cut public spending by £3bn more than the UK government plans by 2021.”

We’re confused already.

Read the rest of this entry →

The tragedy of Project Feart 73

Posted on November 25, 2013 by

There’s an interesting piece from Lesley Riddoch in this morning’s Scotsman, pointing out that “Better Together” is scared to put its prospectus for a Scotland inside the UK to the electorate, preferring a purely destructive critical approach to the Yes side’s:

“If this was an important individual decision like the choice between two homes or two cars, you can bet your bottom dollar the pros and cons of each option would be minutely listed, questioned and compared by prudent consumers.

And yet as citizens we are content to make a decision on the future of Scotland based on scrutinising the apparent shortcomings of the independence option only.”

But while the piece echoes one we wrote last weekend pointing out that Scots will be choosing between two different futures next September (not just opting to keep things as they are) Riddoch doesn’t quite capture the full extent of the No camp’s cowardice, because she misses one important point.

Read the rest of this entry →

Joining the dots 242

Posted on November 23, 2013 by

So we’re pretty embarrassed that we’ve only just put these two things together. We’ve been spending a fair bit of time recently pointing out that there’s almost no chance of the Barnett Formula – in essence, a mechanism for returning to Scotland some of the excess money it sends to Westminster in the form of oil revenue and tax receipts – being retained after the next UK general election.

We’ve also spent a good six months highlighting that the possibility of Holyrood being given “more tax powers” after a No vote is actually a trap, not in reality offering more power at all, but more responsibility. (Because it does you no good to have to collect your own tax revenue – the power lies in deciding how your tax revenue is spent.)

dottodot

And duh, it’s taken us till now to see the connection. Boy, is our face red.

Read the rest of this entry →

Over and over and over again 78

Posted on November 22, 2013 by

That’s how often they tell us.

“The Barnett Formula, under which Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland receive more public spending per head than England, has long rankled south of the border. Even Joel Barnett, who was chief secretary to the Treasury when the system was introduced in the Seventies as a temporary measure, subsequently disowned it.

 If the Scots vote to remain in the UK, as we hope they do, it cannot be as a result of a bribe from the English. A few years ago, the Calman Commission recommended scrapping Barnett, reducing income taxes in Scotland and then allowing Holyrood to levy its own rate on top, introducing an enhanced element of accountability and fiscal self-governance.

Such reforms should be openly debated ahead of the referendum: for the Scottish people are entitled to know that even if they vote to stay in the UK, the current method of financing public spending should not be allowed to continue.”

Our emphasis, from today’s “Telegraph View”.

The Barnett Formula is worth, by our sums, approximately £7bn a year to the Scottish economy. Bear it in mind when you’re being told about the “black hole” in Scotland’s finances after a Yes vote, because even if you vote No you can wave bye-bye to Barnett, and then Scotland really WILL be looking into a black hole.

We’re getting fair warning, folks. Pay heed.

For viewers in Scotland 132

Posted on November 22, 2013 by

Let’s make this one as short as possible. This week’s latest comedy FEARBOMB from the No camp (well, one among many) was a topically Doctor Who-themed repeat of one of their classics – “You won’t get the BBC after independence”.

whoscotland

We pulled that one apart in detail almost a year ago, but let’s see if we can boil it right down to the bare undisputed facts for easy quick reference.

Read the rest of this entry →

The devil in the detail 95

Posted on November 21, 2013 by

We’ve had a closer look at the Institute for Fiscal Studies report from this week.

Basically, the conclusion of the report is that if an independent Scotland continued to do exactly the same things over the next 50 years as the UK does now, it would have to grow its GDP by 1.9% to cover a predicted fiscal gap, while the UK would only have to grow by 0.8% to cover a similar gap. According to the IFS, this 1.9% shortfall would mean a 6% cut in services or a hike of 8% in income tax in an independent Scotland.

However, close reading of the small print in the IFS document highlights facts and forecast figures that appear to contradict the IFS’s argument and instead point to a situation where an independent Scotland would actually be in a similar fiscal position to the UK. Confused? Yes, so were we.

Read the rest of this entry →

Every kind of illiterate 112

Posted on November 21, 2013 by

There’s pretty much nothing about Labour’s latest fearmongering anti-independence leaflet (revealed exclusively by us on Tuesday night) that doesn’t make us facepalm.

uwlcorp1

The only difficult thing is deciding which aspect is the most idiotic.

Read the rest of this entry →

Quoted for interest 95

Posted on November 21, 2013 by

Here’s the Labour First Minister of Wales, Carwyn Jones, one year ago:

“Asked if he could see Barnett reformed without touching the current generous allocation of funds to Scotland, Mr Jones said:

‘It would be difficult to envisage a situation where there would be widespread Barnett reform with an independence referendum pending in Scotland, and with a Scottish Chief Secretary to the Treasury I think that’s unlikely. The problem has been in years gone by that you can’t address the Barnett Formula unless you address the whole of it.’

The First Minister said it was difficult to predict a timescale because there was no timetable for the first step – Barnett reform. Asked whether he got a sense from Danny Alexander that he had an appetite for reform, Mr Jones said:

‘No, I don’t – and I can understand why. He’s a Scottish Chief Secretary to the Treasury. Reforming a system that wouldn’t help Scotland is not something that would be high on his agenda. I certainly can’t see it happening before 2014 and the Scottish referendum.‘”

Jones is all over the papers today with his bizarre delusions-of-influence assertion that he would have some sort of veto over a Sterling currency union between the rUK and an independent Scotland (“Wales could block efforts by an independent Scotland to join a pound-sharing pact”, reports the Scotsman).

For perspective, imagine Alex Salmond being given a veto over the result of a UK referendum to leave the EU. Stop laughing, the article’s not finished yet.

Read the rest of this entry →

  • About

    Wings Over Scotland is a thing that exists.

    Stats: 6,875 Posts, 1,236,002 Comments

  • Recent Posts

  • Archives

  • Categories

  • Tags

  • Recent Comments

    • 100%Yes on The Modern Politician: “The charges brought against Murrell are: Embezzlement of £459,046.49 of SNP funds over a 13-year period (2010–2023). Purchase of a…Feb 13, 13:35
    • Hatey McHateface on The Modern Politician: “Great post, sam. I think you’re the only one I know who accepts that the ten+ million immigrants don’t need…Feb 13, 13:35
    • sam on The Modern Politician: “This, on banking, might interest you. https://www.lawgazette.co.uk/features/scandal-sheet/5117637.article “For most of this century, hefty legal claims by customers of and investors…Feb 13, 13:13
    • TURABDIN on The Modern Politician: “WHILE SCOTLAND SLEEPS, the British state yet again falls out of its comfy bed and is in freefall. https://archive.is/7iNGuFeb 13, 13:05
    • sam on The Modern Politician: ““Forced through globalisation to compete in the housing market with the international super-rich while UK housebuilding per capita declined, the…Feb 13, 12:54
    • Alf Baird on The Modern Politician: ““We’re all being colonised” Yes, that seems pretty obvious, even to Sir Jim Ratcliffe. However, for Scotland and Wales most…Feb 13, 12:49
    • sam on The Modern Politician: “To most people ownership means first and foremost a home of their own. (Conservative Party, 1979) A major plank of…Feb 13, 12:48
    • Northcode on The Modern Politician: “I was thinking – what I call thinking, anyway – that the theorised nature of astrophysics’ Black Holes and the…Feb 13, 12:43
    • sam on The Modern Politician: “Great post, WillieFeb 13, 12:36
    • Young Lochinvar on The Modern Politician: “Happy anniversary (tomorrow) of the battle of Skaithmuir 1316. A bit like medieval WWE Englands best and their hired best…Feb 13, 12:27
    • Confused on The Modern Politician: “also useful, faffs a bit, the meat is from 27.00 on – www.youtube.com/watch?v=nKRq5UcsRCQ – the city is not an engine…Feb 13, 12:10
    • Confused on The Modern Politician: “a useful read https://archive.ph/MPXse – some snippets thatcher pumped the oil like fuck, she pished it up a wall, to…Feb 13, 12:07
    • Confused on The Modern Politician: “I like to predict new trends, to get in on it; here is one – REMIGRATION is the new rock…Feb 13, 12:04
    • Hatey McHateface on The Modern Politician: ““all the peoples of these isles need to end the faux ‘Union’ in order to save themselves and to protect…Feb 13, 11:46
    • Hatey McHateface on The Modern Politician: “Good taste in cars, if the allegations are true. Any chance of a link, x? Seems important to me that…Feb 13, 11:36
    • Hatey McHateface on The Modern Politician: ““defective murderous cladding panels on Grenfell” Oh my aching sides. As I recall, the majority of Grenfell victims were people…Feb 13, 11:31
    • willie on The Modern Politician: “Sam @ 9.15am I don’t think people really realise the effects of PFI. These effects are many fold. Introduced by…Feb 13, 11:05
    • agentx on The Modern Politician: “The charges brought against Murrell are: Embezzlement of £459,046.49 of SNP funds over a 13-year period (2010–2023). Purchase of a…Feb 13, 11:03
    • James Cheyne on The Modern Politician: “Once a Country is dissolved from a two partner treaty then it become a one Country treaty, with its self.…Feb 13, 11:02
    • James Cheyne on The Modern Politician: “TURABDaian, Scotland is asleep. If you have a dissolved Scottish parliament from Englands parliament and the parliament of Great Britain…Feb 13, 10:43
    • James Cheyne on The Modern Politician: “Willie, Who owns them now, Scotland did then and does now, The union between Scotland and England was not completed…Feb 13, 10:17
    • Alf Baird on The Modern Politician: “Yes James, the English now feel the urgent need to become liberated, to reclaim their sovereignty much like us Scots,…Feb 13, 10:13
    • James Cheyne on The Modern Politician: “Willie, But who owns them now? Good point, Because Scotland and its parliament were dissolved out of a political parliamentary…Feb 13, 10:03
    • TURABDIN on The Modern Politician: “WHILE SCOTLAND SLEEPS https://archive.is/8nB7W Scotland’s political class need the biggest kicking ever delivered by human feet.Feb 13, 10:02
    • Marie on The Modern Politician: “If men can become female by declaring that they simply feel that they are then female as a sex category…Feb 13, 10:00
    • Insider on The Modern Politician: “Sam ! Ok Sam ! We all know you can “cut and paste” now ! What’s your next “Computers for…Feb 13, 09:57
    • James Cheyne on The Modern Politician: “Scotlands people not being in a 1707 treaty of parliamentary and political union, and not in a Monarchy union as…Feb 13, 09:55
    • Willie on The Modern Politician: “Re the stats at 9.54am. Aside of GDP distribution into societal income classes a cursory review of the GDP growth…Feb 13, 09:40
    • James Cheyne on The Modern Politician: “We tried proving that Scotland was under Colonial oppression and suppression, ‘Low and behold’ the colonists are now helping us.Feb 13, 09:23
    • Hatey McHateface on The Modern Politician: ““the governments of Thatcher and her successors have overseen an increase in health inequalities alongside an increase in income inequalities”…Feb 13, 09:17
  • A tall tale



↑ Top