Alert readers will have noticed that for the last week or so we’ve been challenging some of the conventional wisdom about Labour’s election victories from 1997-2005. While the right wing of the party and commentariat regularly insists that Tony Blair was its most successful leader ever, we demonstrated that over the course of his leadership he lost Labour over two million votes, whereas Neil Kinnock’s reign had resulted in a GAIN of three million.
In short, New Labour’s victories were primarily the result of the Conservatives being in a catastrophic state during Blair’s rule, exhausted by almost 20 years of power and scandal and infighting about Europe. With William Hague, Iain Duncan Smith and Michael Howard at the head of a shattered opposition, Labour could have won those elections with Piers Morgan or a Teletubby in charge.
What our research also found was that the most striking thing about the period since Blair became Labour leader in 1994 was a staggering and almost overnight increase in the number of British voters turned off politics altogether.
In 1992 just eight million people entitled to vote stayed at home. By 2001 that number had rocketed to EIGHTEEN million, a 125% increase in nine years, and in May it was still at almost 16 million.
Since Blair, eight million UK citizens who used to vote have simply walked away and washed their hands of the entire political process. That’s quite a legacy, but it’s also an opportunity, because it’s a lot of people waiting for a reason to vote for someone. (Most of them young and/or poor, two traditionally Labour-friendly demographics.)
Bizarrely, it’s an opportunity Labour and its allies seem utterly determined to shun.
The Sunday Times has today released some more of the data from the joint poll it conducted with this site a couple of weeks ago. As well as giving the SNP a 31% lead over Labour for Holyrood 2016, there’s a very interesting stat on Europe.
That lead in England for the UK leaving the EU is surprising – most recent polling has shown something like a 60-40 margin in favour of staying in. We’ll need to wait and see if the poll is an outlier or if there’s been another shift in English opinion.
It’s also interesting in that it blows a hole in the regular assertions of Unionist pundits that there are no real differences in social attitudes on either side of the border. At a time when England is split down the middle, Scotland’s resounding 2:1 majority for staying in Europe has never, to our recollection, been higher.
There’s one more thing of note about the poll, though.
The article in question, which we posted last night regarding the former Parliamentary Assistant to Scottish Labour deputy leader hopeful Richard Baker who’s just defected to the Tories, was entirely comprised of some of Stephen Anderson’s own tweets.
It carried no editorial commentary on them whatsoever, and none of the tweets had (of course) been doctored in any way, so the only way the piece could have been “filled with inaccuracies” would have been if the tweets themselves were drivel.
We wish Ruth Davidson the best of luck with her new recruit.
Last night we ran a piece about a story in last week’s Daily Record in which a Scottish Labour official was given free rein to make an extended political attack on the SNP in the guise of a “business student” from the University of the West of Scotland, without his Labour identity being revealed, on the flimsy basis of a petition about college cuts with a few hundred signatures.
As it happens, another UWS student also has a petition doing the rounds at the moment. But it got treated rather differently by the Scottish press.
Alert contributor Calum Ferguson tells us the first bookie to come out with odds for the 2016 Holyrood election is Ladbrokes. Fortune-making opportunities seem limited.
An alert reader brought our attention today to a Daily Record article that we’d missed on Friday, reporting how a Glasgow student had launched a petition bitterly attacking the Scottish Government over cuts to college places.
Despite having attracted only 500 signatures (and only 400 more in the following five days despite the Record helpfully linking to it), the petition was deemed newsworthy enough for a hefty polemic in which petition author Eunis Jassemi pulled no punches, repeatedly lashing the SNP in highly political terms. No counterquote was offered.
Mr Jassemi was described by the Record in the piece as a “business student” and a “former Hutcheson’s Grammar School pupil”, but we can only assume that they must have run out of room before they got to a rather more pertinent item on his CV.
Last night we highlighted the reaction from various right-wing columnists to the SNP’s torpedoing yesterday of Tory attempts to relax the laws on foxhunting in England and Wales. Today the same commentariat has turned its rage to thoughts of revenge, in the form of “English votes for English laws”.
And we’re confused, because we don’t know what this “England” they speak of is.
James Che on Irony you can’t buy: “Regardless of wether the recorded historical information has to be repeated until Scotland, England, Ireland and possibly Wales, has to…” Mar 21, 12:00
Alf Baird on Irony you can’t buy: ““The people of Ireland need to realise that they are not in a treaty with Scotland” Yes, that’s what it…” Mar 21, 11:59
Dan on Irony you can’t buy: “Just in case Lorncal and this site which are so focused on gender critical matters don’t mention and highlight this…” Mar 21, 11:35
agentx on Irony you can’t buy: “Origins and Key Details: Medieval Tax: The “scot” is derived from Old English and Scandinavian (skat) terms for taxes or…” Mar 21, 11:25
Alf Baird on Irony you can’t buy: ““Its the Scots brain that is under captivity” Yes James, the colonial mindset is our biggest enemy. As Steve Biko…” Mar 21, 11:10
agentx on Irony you can’t buy: “Don’t forget that Sturgeon set up NICOLA STURGEON LIMITED so that she could reduce the amount of Scottish tax that…” Mar 21, 11:03
Luigi on Irony you can’t buy: “Scottish independence set back for a decade. Job done. Good on you Nicola. Your handlers will be pleased.” Mar 21, 11:01
Northcode on Irony you can’t buy: “Yes, Frank, the term has been misappropriated, diverted from its original meaning and used against the Scots by anti-Scots racists……” Mar 21, 10:43
Mark Beggan on Irony you can’t buy: “James I do believe you are permanently on the Loopy Pro app.” Mar 21, 10:40
James Che on Irony you can’t buy: “Frank Gilloughley, Thank you for that information, I always wondered how that phrase had come about.” Mar 21, 10:17
Northcode on Irony you can’t buy: “The Brain, also known as Vengeance and Ein Toter sucht seinen Mörder (A dead man seeks his murderer), is a…” Mar 21, 10:11
James Che on Irony you can’t buy: “No 1707 treaty of union with Scotland results in no Great Britain parliament, no Great Britain parliament- no Anglo- Irish…” Mar 21, 10:10
Alf Baird on Irony you can’t buy: ““ideology of dependency” Yes, the colonized elite ‘want dependence, they crave dependence’ (Cesaire), even to the extent of ‘mimicking the…” Mar 21, 10:06
James Che on Irony you can’t buy: “Taking Scotlands Freedom, Taking Englands Freedom, Taking Irelands Freedom, Under a Falsfied 1707 treaty of union with Scotland, It seems…” Mar 21, 10:00
Northcode on Irony you can’t buy: “I don’t really give a damn about whatever predicament poor old England might find itself in after the Scots Terminate…” Mar 21, 09:59
Frank Gillougley on Irony you can’t buy: “Irony of ironies, and she’s quite happy to use that rancorous phrase – ‘to get off Scot-free’. The world really…” Mar 21, 09:57
Northcode on Irony you can’t buy: “Of course, the real poison killing Scotland as a country and the Scots as a people is colonialism. The antidote?…” Mar 21, 09:52
James Che on Irony you can’t buy: “The people of Ireland need to realise that they are not in a treaty with Scotland if they wish to…” Mar 21, 09:44
Northcode on Irony you can’t buy: “Let’s talk about war. Let’s talk about English politics. Let’s talk about baby ‘nation’ America stomping about the place having…” Mar 21, 09:37
James Che on Irony you can’t buy: “Northcode, The point is, that England needs to back Scotland in the long standing lie and deceit surrounding the falsehood…” Mar 21, 09:37
Mark Beggan on Irony you can’t buy: “Baby Braveheart says; ‘You can take away our freedom but you will never take our Benefits’” Mar 21, 09:31
Mark Beggan on Irony you can’t buy: “@Jay Yes indeed. That opens a whole box of worms.” Mar 21, 09:24
James Che on Irony you can’t buy: “Scotland was dissolved from the 1707 treaty with England the same year it signed the treaty 1707 by the monarch…” Mar 21, 09:21
Geri on Looking up at the stars: “Zero self awareness Yankie jurno to Trump “Iran executed three (Mossy spies) people last week – what you going to…” Mar 21, 09:15
Jay on Irony you can’t buy: “Mark: also ‘ideology of dependency’ (ref. your final sentence)?” Mar 21, 09:13
James Che on Irony you can’t buy: “Scotland is a independent country, Its the Scots brain that is under captivity.” Mar 21, 09:09
Jay on Irony you can’t buy: “Mark: seems arguable that the principal reason for Queer Squirmer being Labour leader/PM is his commitment to the hebrew section…” Mar 21, 09:08
Northcode on Irony you can’t buy: “The Scottish Parliamentary election in May is just English trickery designed to fool the Scots into believing they have choices…” Mar 21, 09:08
James Cheyne on Irony you can’t buy: ““We must not take this parliament of England in Scotland for granted”. Is the full text, or should read as…” Mar 21, 09:04