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Making lemonade 93

Posted on July 06, 2015 by

I started lurking on PoliticalBetting.com in the run up to the referendum and enjoyed reading the “robust” debates. A couple of months after the vote I got more actively involved and was immediately puzzled as to why many PBers, commentators, party strategists and – particularly – supposedly infallible bookmakers were all struggling to accept the accuracy of the Scottish opinion polls.

lemonade2

At this point the polls were already indicating that Scottish Labour was going to lose many of its 41 seats and could end up with fewer than five. I started commenting that from where I sitting in Stirling the opinion polls were accurate, the SNP surge was real and indeed that it had not yet peaked.

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    • Dan on Response Level Upgrade: “Robert Hughes comment btl on the Grousebeater article articulates well my thoughts. One could easily piece together a narrative and…” Jun 14, 20:34
    • Fearghas MacFhionnlaigh on Response Level Upgrade: “The grave issue raised here is way beyond any mundane account of high-profile independence proponents not getting on with each…” Jun 14, 20:10
    • sam on Response Level Upgrade: “Well said, Dan. Let’s look at how little Ireland fares against the might of the UK as an example of…” Jun 14, 20:03
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    • twathater on Response Level Upgrade: ““an independent, free, prosperous and peaceful Scotland remains out of reach.” Because accepting and embracing the denigration and derision handed…” Jun 14, 18:00
    • Hatey McHateface on Response Level Upgrade: “It’s all so simplistic it reduces the topic to a joke. Far better to ask the respondents if they think…” Jun 14, 17:52
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    • Hatey McHateface on Response Level Upgrade: “Confused and his Spanish galleons always raises a smile. The good people of the Americas; Aztecs, Maya, etc. begged the…” Jun 14, 17:32
    • Hatey McHateface on Response Level Upgrade: “Truths stick in the memory. Turds stick in the U bend. Anybody ken hoo mony short planks equals a Du…” Jun 14, 17:14
    • Northcode on Response Level Upgrade: ““Edward Said, however, confirmed that colonialism had already been long since directed at European races…” Thanks for that clarification. You…” Jun 14, 17:13
    • Dan on Response Level Upgrade: “It’s all gone a bit Pete Tong hasn’t it… I was just looking at the “Voices for Independence” feed and…” Jun 14, 17:09
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    • Alf Baird on Response Level Upgrade: ““With colonialism the victims were non-Europeans, but with fascism Europeans became the victims.” Crevel’s ‘Murderous Humanitarianism’ (1932) attacked colonialism, capitalism,…” Jun 14, 15:22
    • Mark Beggan on Response Level Upgrade: “Nine out of ten cats said they prefer kittekat.” Jun 14, 15:19
    • Young Lochinvar on Response Level Upgrade: “AX He’ll be (ahem) servicing the cell blocks “Mr Big” and giving the Lags tutorials on embezzling..” Jun 14, 15:06
    • sam on Response Level Upgrade: “https://lordashcroftpolls.com/2026/06/will-they-win-how-will-the-civil-service-react-who-should-follow-farage-my-survey-of-reform-uk-members/ “Just under four in ten Reform UK members said they would describe someone who was from an ethnic minority,…” Jun 14, 14:19
    • Confused on Response Level Upgrade: “whats new? the anglos started out as pirates, then … just stuck with it; harassed by the vikings they started…” Jun 14, 13:32
    • Mark Beggan on Response Level Upgrade: “From the river to the sea It’ll be years till they’re free!” Jun 14, 13:06
    • Mark Beggan on Response Level Upgrade: “Alfred the Great Northy. A leader to unite the kingdom against the Danish cross dressers. Scotland needs an Eliot Ness!…” Jun 14, 12:55
    • Mark Beggan on Response Level Upgrade: “@Andthetoilette. Is this the new boyfriend Sam?” Jun 14, 12:37
    • Mark Beggan on Response Level Upgrade: “Allocoprophagia!” Jun 14, 12:30
    • Northcode on Response Level Upgrade: “It’s laughable… except it really isn’t. The BIG news story on the BBC today is ‘some commandos boarded an unarmed…” Jun 14, 12:22
    • Captain Caveman on Response Level Upgrade: “Another day, another dollar – and another demented old lefty declaring yet another thing as “fascist”, misquoting and/or misappropriating the…” Jun 14, 12:04
    • Mark Beggan on Response Level Upgrade: “@Sam As clear as dirty dish water.” Jun 14, 12:01
    • Andouillette on Response Level Upgrade: “Easy. ‘Their’ refers to the Deform members he polled. A bit clumsy but makes sense in that context.” Jun 14, 12:00
    • sam on Response Level Upgrade: “OK. Pay attention now. Two separate polls. One with Reform supporters asking their opinions on various matters. A second poll,…” Jun 14, 11:59
    • Andouillette on Response Level Upgrade: “Bloody hell! That’s shocking. How to dress a load of mince up in fancy clothes if ever there was one.…” Jun 14, 11:57

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