Regular readers of this site will be impressed, if perhaps less than astonished, at the new high score achieved this week in the timeless game of McTernan Predicts:
It followed an unbroken line of epic forecasting inexactitude for the former Labour spin doctor and ever-present media pundit, stretching all the way back to 2010.
On the 2015 Labour leadership election:
On Jim Murphy’s stint as Scottish Labour leader:
On the aftermath of the indyref:
On ex-Tory Douglas Carswell of UKIP forcing a by-election in Clacton in 2014:
On the 2015 general election in Scotland:
And in the UK as a whole:
On the 2016 Australian elections, won by Malcolm Turnbull’s Liberal Party:
On the 2011 Scottish Parliament elections, just three months before what turned out to be the SNP’s unprecedented landslide and majority:
On what would(n’t) happen after he got that one spectacularly wrong:
And on the previous Labour leadership election:
[EDIT November 15] And finally, on last Friday’s big match:
But the President Of Wrongness can’t afford to rest on his laurels. Because there’s a hungry young turk in town (where “in town” means “the Mail on Sunday, the Telegraph and on telly”), and he’s been quietly building a track record over the same period to show he’s got the chops for the challenge.
(If you have no idea who Barry Goldwater was, like we didn’t, he was the Republican candidate who got hammered by Lyndon B. Johnson in the US Presidential election of 1964, the year after the assassination of John F. Kennedy.)
Of course, there’s also a rank (and we mean that in every sense) outsider:
This site is poorly qualified to judge such an august title, of course. As well as not being New Labourites, we called the 2015 UK election right from 2012, we called the possible loss of the SNP’s Holyrood majority almost nine months ahead of the 2016 election, we called Brexit right as far back as 2014 and we called the US election right from 2015 onwards.
So we thought we’d hand it over to you to pick the winner.