The first (and from our perspective, most important) thing to note is that independence is now categorically and unequivocally off the table for at least half a decade.
The failure of the SNP to secure another Holyrood majority last night (for the want of just 360 votes) combined with the Greens’ weasel-worded opposition to a second referendum – and make no mistake, opposition is what it is – will ensure that even if the rUK votes to leave the EU and Scotland votes overwhelmingly to stay in, there will be no indyref before the next Holyrood election in 2021.
Whatever else happens, you can take that to the bank.
In so far as this Holyrood election has been a battle at all, the battleground for it has been tax. Not only the Unionist opposition but the pro-indy left have attacked the SNP for timidity over its plans to keep income tax rates the same as the rest of the UK, with only a tweak on the threshold for the top rate.
In their defence the Nats have deployed a line that’s been widely derided as an old Tory argument derived from the so-called “Laffer curve”, but in fact is nothing of the sort. It centres around the ways wealthy people legally shield their income from tax, but there’s a very specific and very important wrinkle that applies only in the particular case of a devolved, not independent, Scotland.
It’s not at all complicated but it’s absolutely crucial, and it’s barely been discussed on even the most superficial level in any supposed analyses of the situation undertaken in the media, so as usual we suppose it’s going to be down to us to do the job.
During this election campaign, there’ve been the usual bouts of political sparring, the tit-for-tat point-scoring frenzy played out through a plethora of media. One particular battleground, though, had a special resonance for me – the “Named Person” scheme.
I’m a former “looked-after” child. I’ve suffered the abuse and neglect that this scheme is intended to help protect children from. Having scrutinised the details for myself, I fully support it.
The rise of the SNP has so bewildered the metropolitan commentariat that even almost a decade after the party won its first Scottish election pundits still barely know which way to face to confront it. A case in point can be found in today’s Times.
It’s been quite a 24 hours for watchers of the UK media. The Sunday papers saw two of the most demented rants to have been committed to print about Scottish politics since the independence referendum.
One came from Neil Oliver in the Sunday Times – painting a blood-curdling picture of a “second hate-fest”should Scots ever choose to debate the subject again – and the other from Leo McKinstry in the Sunday Express, beside itself with unhinged rage that Scots, having voted to remain in the UK, might exercise their right as UK citizens to also vote to remain in the EU.
(As a result of which we’ve concluded that a narrow rUK vote in favour of Leave being overturned by a huge margin in Scotland for Remain would be the funniest thing that had ever happened in British politics.)
Yesterday we noted that we still hadn’t received a reply to a complaint we made to the BBC about a false assertion by David Dimbleby on Question Time over six weeks ago, despite the fact that it’s only supposed to take 10 working days.
By coincidence we got the reply today, 36 days late, and it wasn’t worth the wait.
This evening’s Question Time saw one of the most incident-packed passages on the show in recent memory. From left to right onscreen the panellists were Paul Marshall (hedge fund manager, head of a chain of academy schools and co-author of the Lib Dems’ infamous “Orange Book”), Alex Salmond, Tory minister Greg Clark, Labour’s shadow home secretary Andy Burnham and right-wing think-tanker Jill Kirby.
We’d hoped to be bringing you in-depth analysis of the Scottish Labour manifesto by now, readers, but a couple of hours after their launch event there’s still no sign of it anywhere (we’ve checked their website, Facebook page and Twitter feed, all blank).
So we’re going to nip out to the shops for a bit. In the meantime, here’s some footage we recorded of the fantastic live stream of the launch the party put out.
Northcode on The Idiot Rodeo: ““There is no such word as “dead” to be found in the Dictionaries of the Scots Language” Should read: “There…” Dec 18, 21:05
Dan on The Idiot Rodeo: “https://caltonjock.com/2025/12/18/the-scottish-islamic-forum-sif-a-group-tied-to-the-global-muslim-brotherhood-has-announced-that-it-is-planning-a-radical-campaign-to-play-a-greater-role-in-scotlandss-civic-life-to-chang/ A name rings a bell… https://wingsoverscotland.com/this-is-what-a-liar-looks-like#comment-2571782” Dec 18, 20:58
Hatey McHateface on The Idiot Rodeo: “Just marking time, Chas. Indy is a done deal. Waiting for the UN to make the announcement that we’re free.…” Dec 18, 20:50
Northcode on The Idiot Rodeo: “There is no such word as “dead” to be found in the Dictionaries of the Scots Language, Scots or otherwise.…” Dec 18, 20:47
Hatey McHateface on The Idiot Rodeo: “Show your teeth, Northy. Bark and howl. Everybody fears rabies. You’ll be safe.” Dec 18, 20:34
Hatey McHateface on The Idiot Rodeo: “Sorry, Alf, I’ve only just noticed your recommendation I read Freire’s theory of antidialogical action. Before I make the effort…” Dec 18, 20:30
Mark Beggan on The Idiot Rodeo: “@Sven My choice is the Scottish word. The other two are English words. Dead; Scottish meaning; Absolute, without doubt, On…” Dec 18, 20:25
Hatey McHateface on The Idiot Rodeo: “Trainspoting? Never heard of it. Google neither.” Dec 18, 20:20
Hatey McHateface on The Idiot Rodeo: “C’moan Aidan. The moon is made of cheese. You just have to believe. Ever wish the “believers” would just believe…” Dec 18, 20:16
Northcode on The Idiot Rodeo: “I’m wondering if this is another of those veiled and cryptic threats of physical violence we’ve seen on here a…” Dec 18, 20:15
Hatey McHateface on The Idiot Rodeo: “Wow, I’m a moron who most likely takes it up the arse. Alas, puir Auld Scotia, abandoned by all but…” Dec 18, 20:01
Northcode on The Idiot Rodeo: “An apposite quote in response to my ‘intensifier’ comment. Now there’s a writer who knows, or at least did at…” Dec 18, 19:31
Mark Beggan on The Idiot Rodeo: ““It’s a fuckin tightrope Spud. Try to hard and they might give you the fuckin job”” Dec 18, 19:00
Mark Beggan on The Idiot Rodeo: “@Sven Don’t kick the arse out of it.” Dec 18, 18:50
Sven on The Idiot Rodeo: “Mark Beggan@ 17.55. One out of three ain’t bad, Mark. Your choice which one.” Dec 18, 18:26
Dan on The Idiot Rodeo: “Aidan says: “…your babble has reached a degree where it isn’t possible to interpret any argument you might be trying…” Dec 18, 18:10
MuttersUWS on The Semi-Visible Man: “So sorry for your loss. May your (very sharp and detailed) memories of him be a blessing. Have to admit…” Dec 18, 18:06
Mark Beggan on The Idiot Rodeo: “Dead clever cunts.” Dec 18, 17:55
Northcode on The Idiot Rodeo: “Speaking, and writing, in potty-mouth (chortle) is the subject of some serious scientific research. It has been discovered, for instance,…” Dec 18, 17:45
Aidan on The Idiot Rodeo: “Okay Northcode – your babble has reached a degree where it isn’t possible to interpret any argument you might be…” Dec 18, 17:20
Northcode on The Idiot Rodeo: ““Far from being ‘agin oor will’, it was in fact by our will.” Absolute nonsense… and you call yourself a…” Dec 18, 16:54
Chas on The Idiot Rodeo: “The usual dross from the resident Master Baiter. Probably upset because it can’t get fishing!” Dec 18, 16:18
Mark Beggan on The Idiot Rodeo: “That season greetings doesn’t apply to Socialists. They don’t have a soul.” Dec 18, 16:13
Northcode on The Idiot Rodeo: ““…the entirety of academic research concerning urban transport systems conducted by universities and other institutions all over the world is…” Dec 18, 16:10
Mark Beggan on The Idiot Rodeo: “I have recently acquired a Diversity Barrier which I have now attached to my body. Be safe this Christmas. Merry…” Dec 18, 16:03
Aidan on The Idiot Rodeo: “Of course, and I bet James is the type of man to go in and make a huge fucking mess…” Dec 18, 16:02
Aidan on The Idiot Rodeo: ““There is strong and increasing evidence that the Act of Union was never implemented, and hence that the prevailing governance…” Dec 18, 15:50
factchecker on The Idiot Rodeo: “Factually, of course, the campaign to eradicate Gaelic language and culture in Scotland starts with the Establishment of Schools Act…” Dec 18, 15:32
Captain Caveman on The Idiot Rodeo: “No, Fatso, you were clearly looking down on people serving fries or salad for a living, ergo hardworking, Working Class…” Dec 18, 15:17
Aidan on The Idiot Rodeo: “Yes Northcode, the entirety of academic research concerning urban transport systems conducted by universities and other institutions all over the…” Dec 18, 15:07