STV have leaked the results of Scottish Labour’s list-candidate rankings. Alert readers will recall that Kezia Dugdale promised that her leadership would see an influx of “new talent and fresh faces” to the beleaguered branch office’s ranks.
So let’s see how that panned out.
We’ll only list the top seven for each region, since there are only that many list seats. Note that Labour lists are “zipped”, and must alternate between women and non-women regardless of actual votes.
1. Richard Leonard UNION POLITICAL OFFICER
2. Monica Lennon CURRENT COUNCILLOR
3. Mark Griffin CURRENT MSP
4. Elaine Smith CURRENT MSP
5. Craig Martin CURRENT COUNCILLOR
6. Margaret McCulloch CURRENT MSP
7. John Pentland CURRENT MSP
Only one out of seven is not a current elected Labour official, and four out of seven are current MSPs. It’s not the most spectacular start. But as we’ll see, it’s as good as it’s going to get. Labour could conceivably collect five or even six list seats here, which would mean three new faces in Holyrood.
1. Anas Sarwar FORMER MP
2. Johann Lamont CURRENT MSP
3. James Kelly CURRENT MSP
4. Pauline McNeill FORMER MSP
5. Bill Butler FORMER MSP
6. Patricia Ferguson CURRENT MSP
7. James Adams CURRENT COUNCILLOR
Ooft. A lineup of current MSPs and those already rejected by the electorate. The only one who’s not a current or former Parliamentarian is last on the list and has essentially no chance.
Highlands and Islands
1. Rhoda Grant CURRENT MSP
2. David Stewart CURRENT MSP
3. Leah Franchetti ACTUAL FRESH FACE!
4. Sean Morton CURRENT COUNCILLOR
5. Sarah Atkin ACTUAL FRESH FACE!
6. John Erskine PARLIAMENTARY RESEARCHER
7. Robina Barton ACTUAL FRESH FACE!
Labour will do well to improve on the two MSPs it got in 2011, so it looks like no change. If it does pick up a third seat, it’ll go to Edinburgh-based Leah Franchetti, which is going to be a bit of a commute. We must in fairness note that there’s some bona-fide new talent here, but none of it has any realistic hope of getting to Holyrood.
1. Kezia Dugdale CURRENT MSP
2. Neil Findlay CURRENT MSP
3. Sarah Boyack CURRENT MSP
4. Daniel Johnson ACTUAL FRESH FACE!
5. Lesley Hinds CURRENT COUNCILLOR
6. Jalal Chaudry CURRENT NEC MEMBER
7. Cat Headley CURRENT CONSTITUENCY CANDIDATE
Four is the most optimistic scenario for Labour in Lothian, so there’s a possibility of a single new MSP here.
Mid Scotland and Fife
1. Alex Rowley CURRENT MSP
2. Claire Baker CURRENT MSP
3. Thomas Docherty FORMER MP
4. Cara Hilton CURRENT MSP
5. Craig Miller PARLIAMENTARY RESEARCHER
6. Johanna Boyd CURRENT COUNCILLOR
7. Jamie Glackin FORMER PARTY CHAIR
Again, four seats here is the maximum plausible outcome, so at best it’s going to be three sitting MSPs and one former MP.
North East Scotland
1. Jenny Marra CURRENT MSP
2. Lewis MacDonald CURRENT MSP
3. Lesley Brennan CURRENT MSP
4. Richard McCready CURRENT COUNCILLOR
5. Sarah Duncan ACTUAL FRESH FACE!
6. Willie Young CURRENT COUNCILLOR
7. Alison Evison CURRENT COUNCILLOR
There’s basically almost no chance of Labour picking up a fourth seat here. In 2011 the SNP swept all 10 constituencies and still got one on the list. Expect as-you-were.
1. Iain Gray CURRENT MSP
2. Claudia Beamish CURRENT MSP
4. Carol Mochan ACTUAL FRESH-ISH FACE!
5. Kenryck Lloyd-Jones FORMER WESTMINSTER CANDIDATE
6. Fiona O’Donnell FORMER MP
7. Andrew Cochrane ACTUAL FRESH FACE!
Andrew Cochrane is a face so fresh, in fact, that we couldn’t find a single piece of internet presence for him, which is pretty remarkable. However, as three seats here would be a great result for Labour, it’s a bit of a moot point. We won’t be seeing any more of him.
1. Jackie Baillie CURRENT MSP
2. Neil Bibby CURRENT MSP
3. Mary Fee CURRENT MSP
4. Ken MacIntosh CURRENT MSP
5. Johanna Baxter CURRENT NEC MEMBER
6. Joe Cullinane CURRENT COUNCILLOR
7. Siobhan McCready CURRENT CONSTITUENCY CANDIDATE
Labour could plausibly pick up five seats here, but with the top four places hogged by current MSPs, the only chance of a new face is a prominent party apparatchik.
So in terms of candidates with any remotely realistic chance of getting elected:
CURRENT MSPs: 23
FORMER MSPs/MPs: 4
CURRENT COUNCILLORS: 3
GENUINE NEW FACES: 3
Remember, that’s a maximum. On current polls Labour won’t come anywhere near 33 list seats, so only one of those newcomers is a cert. Feel the freshness, folks.