The world's most-read Scottish politics website

Wings Over Scotland

One paper, two polls, no information

Posted on January 14, 2012 by

The Telegraph on Tuesday: Independence 29%, Union 54%. Gap 25%

The Telegraph on Saturday: Independence 40%, Union 43%. Gap 3%.

This, dear readers, is why you should never take any notice of opinion polls with samples of under 1000 people (in both these cases, around 500 Scottish respondents). Exactly what knowledge has the Telegraph gleaned and passed on to a breathlessly expectant nation from these two surveys, presumably each conducted at substantial cost, just five days apart? That the gap the SNP must bridge by autumn 2014 between support for independence and opposition to it is somewhere between 25% and 3%. Well, that pretty much settles everything, doesn’t it?

(PS Some interesting background on the Saturday poll here.)

Print Friendly, PDF & Email

Category analysis, media, psephology, scottish politics
Trackback: trackback from your own site.

Comment - please read this page for comment rules. HTML tags like <i> and <b> are permitted. Use paragraph breaks in long comments. DO NOT SIGN YOUR COMMENTS, either with a name or a slogan. If your comment does not appear immediately, DO NOT REPOST IT. Ignore these rules and I WILL KILL YOU WITH HAMMERS.

←
→

  • About

    Wings Over Scotland is a thing that exists.

    Stats: 6,777 Posts, 1,219,929 Comments

  • Recent Posts

  • Archives

  • Categories

  • Tags

    and finally and firstly arithmetic fail braveheart klaxon britnats captain darling cartoons Chris Cairns confused cringe crybabies dateline debates Devo Nano Federalists Unionists and Devolutionists flat-out lies foreigner watch from the archives fundraisers galleries Greg Moodie hamish hypocrisy liars light-hearted banter lizards memogate misinformation one nation perspectives poll project fear project feart qft Scott Minto smears snp accused soapbox the positive case for the union The Vow ticktock toldyouso too wee too poor too stupid unionist of the day vote no get nothing

  • Recent Comments

    • Confused on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “Scotland in 2050 will be Willy McWonka’s Hielan Brigadoon Golf Resort Gated Community, and we, the Scots, if we are…” Jun 13, 20:50
    • Tommo on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “‘(If nothing else, we suppose that’s a strong show of optimism from Swinney, who’s already 61 and will be some…” Jun 13, 20:27
    • Bob on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “I love the 12 mugshots: but what would Jon Snow say? (or, for that matter, Humza Yousef?)” Jun 13, 20:11
    • agent x on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “Sarah – have you read this response to the petition? https://www.parliament.scot/-/media/files/committees/citizen-participation-and-public-petitions-committee/correspondence/2024/pe2135/pe2135_c.pdf PE2135/C: Implement the International Covenant on Civil and Political…” Jun 13, 20:03
    • agent x on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: ““On the 17th June, a conference at the Assembly Rooms in Edinburgh will ponder the challenges and issues that will…” Jun 13, 19:52
    • sarah on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: ““What can ordinary independentistas do?” Talk to friends and family about Liberate Scotland so their candidates will receive votes in…” Jun 13, 19:42
    • James on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “Absolutely spot on!” Jun 13, 19:30
    • James on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: ““House”!” Jun 13, 19:27
    • James on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “Unionist Prick Bingo; three in a row – “HOUSE”!” Jun 13, 19:25
    • James on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “Lol….good post, Breastplate. The yoons ate ramping it up on here, new ‘names’ by the day amongst the same old…” Jun 13, 19:23
    • James on The Grand Tour: “Agreed, aLurker. Northcode’s excellent points were proven almost immediately by five posts from the usual Yoon suspects. The arrogance of…” Jun 13, 18:55
    • Ian McCubbin on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “Deals for the favoured in SNP, the top grifters. It’s a disgrace. But what can ordinary independendistas do? Voting is…” Jun 13, 18:38
    • wullie on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “An occupying foreign power could not do a better job of destroying the country and looting its resources. In my…” Jun 13, 18:19
    • Effijy on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “Rebrand as the New SNP. Your independence party gearing up for the next millennium. The Westminster parties, Tory, Labour and…” Jun 13, 18:17
    • ScottieDog on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “They’re on course for a win next year, why would they change anything. More gravy. Some of them might even…” Jun 13, 17:52
    • twathater on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “I notice at any mention of SALVO or Liberate Scotland the FRANCHISE fanny and his fellow YOONS,Aiden,private clansman aka corporal…” Jun 13, 17:47
    • sarah on The Grand Tour: “I agree, Mary – the whole independence movement should get behind the two prongs of Liberate Scotland for the 2026…” Jun 13, 17:17
    • aLurker on Off-topic: “Hi folks. I am mostly a lurker, hence the moniker. But I was prompted to respond by Northcodes post today:…” Jun 13, 17:11
    • robertkknight on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “To all those SNP faithful/sheep out there, a quote from Johnny Rotten… “Ha ha ha… Ever get the feeling you’ve…” Jun 13, 16:59
    • Hatey McHateface on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “Wearing a baseball cap is a clear sign you’re adopting the colonialist mindset of the oppressor. Fits wrang wi a…” Jun 13, 16:55
    • Hatey McHateface on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “Could it be the UN have other things on their mind? Serious things? Important things? Matters of life and death…” Jun 13, 16:50
    • Hatey McHateface on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “Bad day for you is it BP? I’ve noticed you’ve resorted to playing solitary buzzword bingo. Or as our host…” Jun 13, 16:48
    • factchecker on The Grand Tour: “James says ‘There are some very interesting figures within Scotland’s ‘deficit’, for example: the figure of £9.1bn under the name…” Jun 13, 16:44
    • Onlooker on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “What the fuck does the weirdo Cherie Blair have to do with anything? is she going to have a rebirthing…” Jun 13, 16:40
    • Young Lochinvar on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “Dull as dishwater. At least Broontosaurus isn’t attending- perhaps they are having difficulty with his defrost setting in time for…” Jun 13, 16:38
    • Captain Caveman on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “So basically you couldn’t answer a single one of his points and resorted to weak insults. Standard. I suppose it…” Jun 13, 16:33
    • Andy Ellis on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “Isn’t a more likely explanation simply that Salvo isn’t in fact making much impact either in the popular consciousness of…” Jun 13, 16:32
    • Andy Ellis on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “If that was true – and I’m not at all sure there is a scintilla of evidence for it -…” Jun 13, 16:28
    • PhilM on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “Well I don’t have two brass farthings to rub together but if I did, I would be salivating at the…” Jun 13, 16:25
    • Peter McAvoy on Let’s Not Make Some Plans: “They can start by keeping Alexander’s open and working.” Jun 13, 16:09

  • A tall tale



↑ Top