The world's most-read Scottish politics website

Wings Over Scotland


Author Archive


Making lemonade 93

Posted on July 06, 2015 by

I started lurking on PoliticalBetting.com in the run up to the referendum and enjoyed reading the “robust” debates. A couple of months after the vote I got more actively involved and was immediately puzzled as to why many PBers, commentators, party strategists and – particularly – supposedly infallible bookmakers were all struggling to accept the accuracy of the Scottish opinion polls.

lemonade2

At this point the polls were already indicating that Scottish Labour was going to lose many of its 41 seats and could end up with fewer than five. I started commenting that from where I sitting in Stirling the opinion polls were accurate, the SNP surge was real and indeed that it had not yet peaked.

Read the rest of this entry →

  • About

    Wings Over Scotland is a (mainly) Scottish political media digest and monitor, which also offers its own commentary. (More)

    Stats: 6,752 Posts, 1,217,400 Comments

  • Recent Posts

  • Archives

  • Categories

  • Tags

  • Recent Comments

    • Vivian O’Blivion on The Last Thing They’ll Expect: “RefUK friendly polling outfit Find Out Now have the Faragists on a thirteen percentage point lead! Westminster voting intention, field…May 8, 20:26
    • Yoon Scum on All Or Nothing: “Mia It’s people like you that stopped me voting YES And I use the term “people” in it’s loosest meaningMay 8, 20:16
    • Mia on All Or Nothing: ““an openly unashamed antisemite” If, according to you, the new meaning of the word “antisemite” is to feel sick at,…May 8, 19:58
    • 100%Yes on The Last Thing They’ll Expect: “He keeps having a go at Alba Party. Bitter nice as a drink, it must be hell for someone who’s…May 8, 19:58
    • Yoon Scum on The Last Thing They’ll Expect: “The biggest tell that a NAT isn’t very bright is they cannot give one single reason to stay in the…May 8, 19:52
    • Hatey McHateface on All Or Nothing: “Like I said, Mia, you’re an openly unashamed antisemite. Whether it’s you blaming your perceived wrongs in Scotland’s governance on…May 8, 19:47
    • Mia on All Or Nothing: ““days of 2014, that antisemitism w…” zzzzzz!! Antisemitism. The good old magic (but by now devoid of meaning) word that…May 8, 19:23
    • Hatey McHateface on The Last Thing They’ll Expect: “You just beat me to it, YS. I was wondering if Rev Stu is lying to us, or if supporting…May 8, 19:21
    • Hatey McHateface on All Or Nothing: “Yeah, yeah, yeah, sara, but who cares about that? Don’t we really need racist, sectarian, twisted bigots if we are…May 8, 19:12
    • Mia on All Or Nothing: ““Happily there will be true independence fighters to vote for” I am counting on that, Sarah, but, If am not…May 8, 19:09
    • Owen Mullions on The Last Thing They’ll Expect: “His blog these days has nothing to do with independence, just a constant diatribe against Alba (no wonder they got…May 8, 19:06
    • Hatey McHateface on All Or Nothing: “Mia blaming Scotland’s situation on Da Dews again. Who ever thought, back in the heady days of 2014, that antisemitism…May 8, 19:02
    • Xaracen on All Or Nothing: “Excellent summary! The fact of Westminster insisting on its own sovereignty only verifies that the concept of sovereignty is a…May 8, 18:56
    • Yoon Scum on The Last Thing They’ll Expect: “YEP that has been the plan in 2019 there was a vote on keeping the UK in the common market…May 8, 18:55
    • Yoon Scum on The Last Thing They’ll Expect: “If each event I was told was going to have a massive boost for indy actually did have a massive…May 8, 18:53
    • Yoon Scum on The Last Thing They’ll Expect: “Most moon howlers and NATs think that support for indy is well over 70% many think it is 90% So…May 8, 18:51
    • James Cheyne on All Or Nothing: “Mia, Hear hear. It is not allor nothing, The problem is the voting system in Scotland under Westminster parliament of…May 8, 18:37
    • Potace on The Last Thing They’ll Expect: “The same logic spouted by the NuSNP acolytes who, in the same breath lampooned Alba for their lack of support…May 8, 18:36
    • Mia on All Or Nothing: “Yes, that would be the hope. But that hope will play with a very bad set of cards against a…May 8, 18:31
    • sarah on All Or Nothing: “Happily there will be true independence fighters to vote for, Mia. All the “small” independence parties/candidates will be under an…May 8, 18:24
    • Broughty Boy on The Last Thing They’ll Expect: “Being daft must be a prerequisite for writing in The NationalMay 8, 18:11
    • Mr Bruce Hosie on The Last Thing They’ll Expect: “There is a sad need to be recognised in that certain person, going back and forth searching for political relevance…May 8, 18:07
    • twathater on The Last Thing They’ll Expect: “Logic dictates that there must be someone either they can turn to for advice or to instruct them in what…May 8, 18:07
    • Liz on The Last Thing They’ll Expect: “I’ve lost track of the number of times we’ve been told that external events will sky rocket the numbers for…May 8, 17:59
    • James Cheyne on The Last Thing They’ll Expect: “I am sorry to hear they are still stalker targeting you Stu, I would carry on ignoring and be glad…May 8, 17:59
    • John McGregor on Let’s Make Jen Safe Again: “Has anybody seen a Good Looking transgender wumin Naw me neither FreaksMay 8, 17:58
    • John McGregor on All Or Nothing: “The indy supporters were played for fools ever since The Late Alex Salmond put his notice in after the referendum…May 8, 17:52
    • James Cheyne on All Or Nothing: “Lorn A lot in what you say, and a lot to pick a part,May 8, 17:51
    • Jon Drummond on The Last Thing They’ll Expect: “Might have guessed it was SCOT GOES PLOP.May 8, 17:51
    • Mia on All Or Nothing: “Mmm. Sorry, Rev, but I am not enticed at all by this proposal. Judging how the resident unionists in these…May 8, 17:51
  • A tall tale



↑ Top