SCENARIO 1 Votes as close as possible to "Spike" example, relative to most recent list polling. (Total 100,000 for ease of illustration.) SNP 55,000 LAB 20,000 CON 11,000 UKIP 6,500 LIB 4,000 GRN 3,500 SNP sweep 9 constituency seats REGIONAL SEAT 1 LAB 20,000 (divisor 1) CON 11,000 (1) UKIP 6,500 (1) SNP 5,500 (10) LIB 4,000 (1) GRN 3,500 (1) SEAT 2 CON 11,000 (1) LAB 10,000 (2) UKIP 6,500 (1) SNP 5,500 (10) LIB 4,000 (1) GRN 3,500 (1) SEAT 3 LAB 10,000 (2) UKIP 6,500 (1) SNP 5,500 (10) CON 5,500 (2) LIB 4,000 (1) GRN 3,500 (1) SEAT 4 LAB 6,667 (3) UKIP 6,500 (1) SNP 5,500 (10) CON 5,500 (2) LIB 4,000 (1) GRN 3,500 (1) SEAT 5 UKIP 6,500 (1) SNP 5,500 (10) CON 5,500 (2) LAB 5,000 (4) LIB 4,000 (1) GRN 3,500 (1) SEAT 6 SNP 5,500 (10) CON 5,500 (2) LAB 5,000 (4) LIB 4,000 (1) GRN 3,500 (1) UKIP 3,250 (2) SEAT 7 CON 5,500 (2) SNP 5,000 (11) LAB 5,000 (4) LIB 4,000 (1) GRN 3,500 (1) UKIP 3,250 (2) TOTAL: LAB 3 CON 2 SNP 1 UKIP 1 SCENARIO 2 1/3 of SNP list votes split 50/25/25 between Grn, HNF and Rise. SNP 36,667 LAB 20,000 GRN 12,666 CON 11,000 UKIP 6,500 HNF 4,583 RISE 4,583 LIB 4,000 SEAT 1 LAB 20,000 (1) GRN 12,666 (1) CON 11,000 (1) UKIP 6,500 (1) HNF 4,583 (1) RISE 4,583 (1) LIB 4,000 (1) SNP 3,667 (10) SEAT 2 GRN 12,666 (1) CON 11,000 (1) LAB 10,000 (2) UKIP 6,500 (1) HNF 4,583 (1) RISE 4,583 (1) LIB 4,000 (1) SEAT 3 CON 11,000 (1) LAB 10,000 (2) UKIP 6,500 (1) GRN 6,333 (2) HNF 4,583 (1) RISE 4,583 (1) LIB 4,000 (1) SNP 3,667 (10) SEAT 4 LAB 10,000 (2) UKIP 6,500 (1) GRN 6,333 (2) CON 5,500 (2) HNF 4,583 (1) RISE 4,583 (1) LIB 4,000 (1) SNP 3,667 (10) SEAT 5 LAB 6,667 (3) UKIP 6,500 (1) GRN 6,333 (2) CON 5,500 (2) HNF 4,583 (1) RISE 4,583 (1) LIB 4,000 (1) SNP 3,667 (10) SEAT 6 UKIP 6,500 (1) GRN 6,333 (2) CON 5,500 (2) LAB 5,000 (4) HNF 4,583 (1) RISE 4,583 (1) LIB 4,000 (1) SNP 3,667 (10) SEAT 7 GRN 6,333 (2) CON 5,500 (2) LAB 5,000 (4) HNF 4,583 (1) RISE 4,583 (1) LIB 4,000 (1) SNP 3,667 (10) UKIP 3,250 (2) TOTAL LAB 3 CON 1 GRN 2 UKIP 1