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Wings Over Scotland



New Labour Pundit Of The Year 144

Posted on November 10, 2016 by

Regular readers of this site will be impressed, if perhaps less than astonished, at the new high score achieved this week in the timeless game of McTernan Predicts:

mcternanpredicts15a

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Please be wrong 627

Posted on November 09, 2016 by

It’s 4.36am. I’m going to go to bed in a minute. I’m hoping that I get up in a few hours and laugh at this, delighted at my own unfounded pessimism.

trumpcall1

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A matter of competence 809

Posted on October 25, 2016 by

Back in May we wrote this:

yoonpo

The prediction duly came true, as most of ours do. Sometimes we hate being right.

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Another vow delivered 72

Posted on November 27, 2015 by

On the left, the Conservatives’ 2015 general election manifesto.

thennow2

On the right, yesterday’s Press & Journal. We wish we could even fake surprise.

The nuances of the night 76

Posted on August 02, 2015 by

Alert readers will recall that this site has expended some energy on debunking the lazy myth – which suits the media and Labour alike – that a significant factor in the unexpected Conservative majority in May’s general election was voters being scared back to the Tories by a fear campaign about the prospect of the SNP influencing a minority Labour government.

Today we stumbled across an hour-long programme buried away in the depths of BBC Parliament, which televised “a seminar organised by Nuffield College Oxford at which leading academics and pollsters analyse the result of the General Election”.

The most interesting contribution came from a team at the University of Manchester who made two absolutely key findings from the extremely large and detailed British Election Study of the “short campaign” period, involving tens of thousands of voters.

Attention spans are brief these days, so we’ve cut it down to four minutes for you.

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One question answered 183

Posted on June 23, 2015 by

We’ve been keeping an eye out for something for a while now.

smithdetriment

And today we found out.

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Tossing your chips 251

Posted on June 18, 2015 by

Over and over again in the years leading up to the independence referendum, Scots were warned of the many dire consequences of voting Yes. Among the No campaign’s prime targets for scare tactics were subsidies for renewable energy.

renewguardian

UK government subsidies drying up certainly sounded like a scary prospect.

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The polls were not wrong 312

Posted on May 09, 2015 by

Much of the commentariat and media has been in a froth for the last 24 hours about the supposed failure of the nation’s pollsters to predict the Conservative victory. This, for example, was Labour’s highly-paid election guru David Axelrod:

axelrod

But the truth is that the polls – just like the heavily-maligned exit poll which turned out to be bang on the money – got nothing wrong. The people interpreting them did.

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Seeing it coming a mile off 125

Posted on May 08, 2015 by

The media might be shocked. But readers of Wings aren’t.

edpm1

Because there’s simply no excuse for anyone acting surprised.

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A lucky escape 104

Posted on December 04, 2014 by

Phew, eh?

espensions

(April 2014 on the left, December 2014 on the right.)

Barely worth the words 175

Posted on November 12, 2014 by

We told you so #2 955

Posted on September 23, 2014 by

Even we’re surprised how fast these are coming true.

image

Stay tuned for more. They’re on the way.

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